Yes, you did read that headline correctly, it wasn’t a typo, I am going to discuss whether the Lib Dems can make net gains in parliamentary seats at the 2015 General election, which might seem odd, given the Lib Dems current travails in the polls. Since the start of April, of the 37 polls conducted by YouGov, the Lib Dems have only led UKIP in four of them, averaging 10.4% to UKIP’s 12.8% in that period. In the 16…
Just to say that I’m off on my holidays tomorrow and this should be the last post from me till a fortnight on Monday. We are heading for Italy and will be staying in Milan, Sorrento, Lecce and Bologna. We’ve never been to Pompei before and that should be a highlight of the first week. The site is in the capable hands of TSE. Mike Smithson
Why do we hear so little about Caroline Lucas? The election of Caroline Lucas in 2010 was in many ways quite extraordinary. In winning a three-way marginal seat she succeeded where UKIP have so far failed. Lucas is intelligent, thoughtful and charismatic. Yet the Greens simply have not capitalised. At a time when the Labour Party is saying as little as possible about its policy plans, you’d think there was a hole for the Green Party’s national no nonsense opposition…
Ukip drop to 13% The latest YouGov daily poll is out and sees the Tories still in the doldrums below the 30 mark. The comparisons in the chart above are with a week ago which was before the reported “swivel eyed loons” that a senior CON figure was said to have made about party activists. The firm has tended to show show better than average figures for the Tories and today’s numbers suggest that the bad press they’ve been having…
Whitwell on Bolsover Last Local Election 2011: Lab 32, Ind 4, Green 1 (Labour majority of 25) To view the result in 2011 please visit http://s3.datawrapper.de/BIZMe/ Dennis Skinner MP (Lab, Bolsover) has become as much of the Parliamentary Estate as Black Rod and the Speaker. Famed for his comments at each State Opening, is it any wonder that he has been named the “Beast of Bolsover†and was even immortalised in the CBBC comedy drama “Maid Marian and Her Merry…
This will give you hours of psephological fun! Biteback has generously agreed to give copy of the latest volume by Professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, called “British Electoral Facts 1832-2012” as a PB competition prize. The book is an amazing treasure trove and my copy sits almost permanently on my desk. All you have to do is guess the CON and Ukip shares in the June Guardian ICM poll. The closest forecast will win. As with all PB competitions…
Thursday’s Sun front page – “We killed this British soldier. It’s an eye for an eye” #tomorrowspaperstoday #Woolwich twitter.com/suttonnick/sta… — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) May 22, 2013 This is the opportunity for Cameron to rise to the occasion. Will he? — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) May 23, 2013 PaddyPower CON leadership challenge prices. bit.ly/I8PkIOSee twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 23, 2013