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Farage urgently needs MPs from defections and by-elections One of the great general election challenges for parties other than LAB and CON is to persuade people that in their constituency their vote won’t be wasted. The national battle will be portrayed as being between the big two with the threat on either side that a vote for one of the other parties will let the other one in. The Lib Dems have in the past done well in seats where…

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Osborne suggests that pensioners perks like winter fuel allowance could be cut http://t.co/jbEyjR6uAm pic.twitter.com/2UZ6c7mYqS — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2013 An election gamble or just facing reality?

This Marf cartoon first appeared on their wedding day Is form a guide to value? In around a month, Britain and – at least for the time being – fifteen other states around the world will have a new third-in-line to the throne.  It’s an event for which there are several betting markets, some more practical than others.  As with most markets, correctly predicting the outcome is a combination of luck together with understanding the nature of the event, past…

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Henry G Manson looks at a key GE2105 region where the recovery is slower Many ask if ‘the UK economy’ will recover before the general election? One thing that’s struck me in recent weeks is how different parts of the country are already faring quite differently to each other. As a result there is the growing chance that areas like London and the South East pick up by 2015 but that they leave behind large parts of the North and…

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