Based on YouGov’s first three polls this week the gap is getting narrower

Based on YouGov’s first three polls this week the gap is getting narrower

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The latest YouGov/Sun daily poll, published last night, has LAB 38/CON 35/LD 10/UKIP 11 – so a continuation of what we’ve been seeing all week. For my chart above I’ve calculated a provisional weekly average based on the first 3 polls and as is clear there is a narrowing. The question is whether this is down to normal margin or error, which it could well be, or are we seeing real change? We should get another YouGov tonight and, of…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker,  why not take the final few Steps and delurk, it’ll be a Tragedy if at least 5,6,7,8 lurkers don’t delurk. I’m sure your contributions won’t be Better Best Forgotten. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) PMQs verdict: Ed resists the urge…

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Why Scottish LAB voters hold the key to their country’s future

Why Scottish LAB voters hold the key to their country’s future

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On Sunday we reported on the ICM poll in Scotland on September’s IndyRef which had the gap narrowing sharply. On one measure those who wanted independence were just 6% behind. Now I’ve had a chance to look at the detail and the above findings stand out – whether voters mght change their mind broken down by which party they supported in the 2011 Holyrood elections. On the voting question LAB voters from 2011 split 28% YES to 72%. LDs were…

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Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is not one where the Tories or Labour are setting the agenda

Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is not one where the Tories or Labour are setting the agenda

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January @IpsosMORI Issues Index out & immigration now jt 1st with economy See pic.twitter.com/OVbmvJitFi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 In Jan 2013 concern about economy was 30% pts higher than immigration – gap now closed http://t.co/csa4Xt3KDq pic.twitter.com/F8k2SR8dWu — Bobby Duffy (@BobbyIpsosMORI) January 28, 2014 Women less concerned about immigration than men. See concern levels for different groups in this @IpsosMORI chart pic.twitter.com/V7VG7wpMw9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 Declining concerns about the economy take away a blue strong-point…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, and Wannabe a poster, Stop, lurking, Spice Up Your Life, by becoming a poster on pb. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) The only loser in Britain’s resurgent economy is Labour - Now George Osborne’s austerity strategy has been vindicated, Ed Balls…

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ComRes/ITV News poll finds the public grumpy about all the main parties

ComRes/ITV News poll finds the public grumpy about all the main parties

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9% tell ComRes/ITV News poll that George Osborne has made their family better off. See this & other findings pic.twitter.com/FeFg9pEZ38 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 The groups in society that those sampled by ComRes/ITV thought the coalition government understands the concerns of pic.twitter.com/jeq6WXBXm0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 Perhaps this is the backcloth for UKIP’s progress?

YouGov, like Survation at the weekend, finds 61 percent back raising the tax rate for high earners to 50p

YouGov, like Survation at the weekend, finds 61 percent back raising the tax rate for high earners to 50p

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But YouGov finds more people are opposed We’ve now got the second poll on the Ed Balls tax plan announced on Saturday. It’s from YouGov for today’s Times and finds 61% to 26% against. The detail hasn’t been published yes but the paper reports that LAB voters are overwhelmingly supportive, while 52% cent of CON supporters are opposed.45% think the move would help the economy, 19% say it would cause damage. Labour will be pleased that this key policy continues…

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Time for the red team to push the panic button? LAB share down 4 and lead just 1pc in latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy

Time for the red team to push the panic button? LAB share down 4 and lead just 1pc in latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy

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And YouGov has lead down to 2% The monthly ComRes/Indy survey is one of just three monthly national polls remaining which use the telephone and its publication, usually at the end of the month, is always an occasion. The latest party shares with changes on December are in the chart above and as can be seen the big move has been LAB down 4 while UKIP has gone up by the same amount. The result is that Miliband’s party now…

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