Labour to launch a decapitation strategy against Clegg?

Labour to launch a decapitation strategy against Clegg?

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This morning reports emerged that the Labour party is briefing that it has launched a “major bid” to defeat Clegg in his Sheffield Hallam constituency at the next election, with one NEC source declaring that it is “pouring resources” into the seat. There is a Lord Ashcroft poll from October 2010 which showed Labour trailing the Lib Dems by 2% in Sheffield Hallam, and marked shifts in the 2010 General Election voting if voters had known Clegg had gone into government…

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The impacts of the floods on the 2015 General Election

The impacts of the floods on the 2015 General Election

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Storm-hit coalition risks battering at the polls http://t.co/OCsHWRbbf1 — Times News (@TimesNewsdesk) February 17, 2014 On Sunday I speculated on whether the government’s response to the flooding would have an electoral effect. The Times have a piece today (££) which has analysed the constituencies that have suffered most with the recent extreme weather and there’s quite a few marginals affected.  Out of the Tories 40 most marginal seats, 15 have been affected by the recent extreme weather.  For the Lib Dems,…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker and have a Desire to delurk, why not delurk tonight. You’ll find posting on PB, The Sweetest Thing, I’m hoping that at least One lurker will delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Today on the Jeremy Kyle Show: “My coalition…

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Time to back Maria Miller as next out of the cabinet?

Time to back Maria Miller as next out of the cabinet?

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Time to back Maria Miller as next out of the cabinet? New PB thread http://t.co/m24srj60V6 pic.twitter.com/AD5E1fnoOl — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 17, 2014 Over the weekend stories emerged about Maria Miller, the Culture Secretary, being criticised by parliamentary standards officials for claiming mortgage repayments and other expenses associated with a large detached property in south London. In the Mail, it was said  “One Tory MP privately admitted that criticism over her expenses could make Mrs Miller’s position in the Cabinet…

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Lib Dem deposit losses at the General Election

Lib Dem deposit losses at the General Election

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The Wythenshawe & Sale East saw for the eight time in fifteen Great British by-elections since 2010 the Lib Dems lose their deposit. At the 2010 General Election, the Lib Dems were the only party out of the three established GB wide parties not to lose their deposit in any seat.  The above graph shows just how badly the Lib Dems have done, all bar one, their share of the vote has fallen, it was only in the unique circumstances behind…

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My 25/1 tip for our next EU Commissioner

My 25/1 tip for our next EU Commissioner

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The primary reason I’ve been reluctant to heavily back Andrews Mitchell and Lansley (or any other Tory MP) is that I think David Cameron wants to avoid having an unnecessary by-election. My own hunch is that UKIP’s best chance of winning a by-election in this parliament will be in a Conservative held seat, and that may influence David Cameron’s choice when deciding our next man in Bruxelles. So he may go for some who isn’t currently a Member of Parliament,…

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The Floods: Is this going to start impacting on Voting Intentions?

The Floods: Is this going to start impacting on Voting Intentions?

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This morning's headline on the bbc website pic.twitter.com/CM7dPT6r0u — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 16, 2014   We’ve seen some polling over the weekend on David Cameron and the Government’s handling/response to the floods. Opinium for the Observer found Opinium/Observer on the flooding pic.twitter.com/GgQB5uGRaB — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 16, 2014 ComRes found ComRes on the floods I feel the Govt is beginning to get a grip on the flooding situation in Britain 23% Agreed 59% Disagreed — The Screaming…

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UKIP slumps 4 points with ComRes online while LAB extends lead to 9 with Opinium

UKIP slumps 4 points with ComRes online while LAB extends lead to 9 with Opinium

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Farage & UKIP down in ComRes favourability index “Please indicate whether you have a favourable or unfavourable view of each of the following political leaders and parties…” Percentage saying “favourable” (change since last month, or *change since June 2013). David Cameron 31% +4 Ed Miliband 22% +4 Nigel Farage 20% -2 Nick Clegg 13% (0) Labour Party 31% +5 Conservative Party 28% +3 Liberal Democrats 17% +3 UKIP 24% -3 48% tell ComRes that recent floods have made them more…

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