Newly published Ipsos-MORI polling finds fewer voters hostile to LAB than the other main parties

Newly published Ipsos-MORI polling finds fewer voters hostile to LAB than the other main parties

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And there’s a whiff of good news for the LDs at the Euros What I’ve found to be a fascinating piece of polling for the British Future think tank has just been published by Ipsos-MORI. Rather than the conventional voting intention questions interviewees were asked for views of the four main national parties and whether they’d consider voting for them in both general elections and the Euros, general elections only, the Euros only, or whether they’d never consider voting for…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk, Tonight’s the Night, you should delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Sorry Len, Labour shouldn’t rule out a coalition with the Lib Dems Miliband rhetoric worries Labour’s business backers Britain’s main opposition party, Labour, is allegedly looking…

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Labour’s deficit in the cuts “blame game” tracker drops to just 4 points

Labour’s deficit in the cuts “blame game” tracker drops to just 4 points

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At one stage the gap was 30% One of the non-voting trackers that I’ve been monitoring closely since the coalition was formed in May 2010 has been the above one from YouGov on who is to blame for the cuts. For nearly four years whenever this question has beens asked at least twice a months and every poll has found the last LAB government getting the blame sometimes by big margins. In the early days the proportion of those blaming…

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So far, at least, the intense Daily Mail campaign against Harriet Harman is not being reflected in the daily YouGov figures

So far, at least, the intense Daily Mail campaign against Harriet Harman is not being reflected in the daily YouGov figures

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LAB lead back up to 6 in tonight's YouGov Sun poll CON 33% LAB 39% LD 10% UKIP 11% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 25, 2014 That is not to say that it won’t Today’s YouGov poll for the Sun sees LAB back at 39% the share at which it has been getting for months as the YouGov weekly average trend chart above shows. One of the dangers with all polling analysis is to confuse correlation with causation. Clearly many factors are at…

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Three months to go till the Euros and concern about UKIP’s key policy, immigration, sees a sharp drop in the Issues Index

Three months to go till the Euros and concern about UKIP’s key policy, immigration, sees a sharp drop in the Issues Index

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Sharp drop in concerns on immigration in the February @IpsosMORI Issues Index. See pic.twitter.com/eNXtuxInaP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 24, 2014 @MSmithsonPB @IpsosMORI Probably because we didn't get a surge of Romanians and Bulgarians arriving as some predicted! — The Oncoming Storm (@TheOncoming) February 25, 2014 The February Ipsos-MORI Issues Index is out and the summary findings are above. As can be seen the big mover since January has been immigration which has fallen 7%. Also down is concern about…

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The Tories are planning to bet everything on getting a majority – if they don’t they won’t do a coalition deal

The Tories are planning to bet everything on getting a majority – if they don’t they won’t do a coalition deal

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Cameron’s GE2015 gamble – a CON majority or bust The big GE2015 development overnight is the Telegraph story that the Tories are planning to go into the election with a manifesto commitment not to enter a coalition deal. If the party won most seats but fell short of the threshold of 326 MPs it would seek to govern on its own as a minority. Clearly everything depends on the numbers but it’s hard to see a minority CON government winning…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk, It Only Takes A Minute to delurk, I’m sure you’ll Shine with your contributions. Never Forget, we were all lurkers once. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Where UKIP gets its support from. (I was amazed to find that…

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