According to poll of Clacton voters reported on front page of Mail on Sunday UKIP has a 44% lead pic.twitter.com/ELzVkKtmv5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 30, 2014 There’s what I assume is a Survation poll of Clacton voters in the Mail on Sunday. The only only info is on the front page – above. This looks sensational. As soon as more detail is available this will be update. Update – we now have this from the poll The detail from the…
Saturday/Sunday morning is generally an interesting time for political punters – even more so when we have an absorbine by-election in the pipeline as well as the IndyRef. I’m hoping that we might even see a Clacton poll though the timescale has been very tight. There’ve also been hints of at least one IndyRef survey and who knows what the next round of GE2015 polling is going to show. The chart above is going to be a regular. Mike Smithson…
A by-election victory could secure a TV debate place for Farage The defection of one MP or another towards the end of a parliament is nothing particularly unusual. The decision of one to resign and re-contest his or her seat is. Were it not for the vote of even greater significance taking place in Scotland next month, the Clacton by-election could have been the seminal political moment of the parliament. Depending on the two results, it still might be. A…
GE2015 betting: LAB majority chances on Betfair move up 3 to nearly 35% following the Carswell defection to UKIP pic.twitter.com/mjfWZx9rwv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 29, 2014 Betfair GE2015 majority betting: CON chances drop by 3% following Carswell move pic.twitter.com/P0JpwViLgH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 29, 2014 Maybe the weekend polls will change that?
North Jesmond on Newcastle upon Tyne (Lib Dem Defence) Result: Liberal Democrats 711 (53% +16%), Labour 320 (24% -9%), Conservative 117 (9% -9%), United Kingdom Indepdendence Party 112 (8%), Green 94 (7% -5%) Liberal Democrat HOLD with a majority of 391 (29%) on a swing of 12.5% from Labour to Liberal Democrat This result will be seized upon by Northern Liberal Democrats as a suggestion that the constant hammering they have been getting in recent years may be coming to…
The mayor’s the only one who could stop UKIP in its tracks One of the big political decisions that the Tories will have to make in the next few weeks is who should be the candidate to fight UKIP defector, Douglas Carswell, in Clacton. The consequences for Cameron’s party of a UKIP victory in the seat are enormous and they have to do everything they can to stop him. Boris Johnson has decided he wants to return to the commons…
Yes, we all know that the media is focusing on Clacton this evening but let us not forget that Clacton is not the only show in town! North Jesmond on Newcastle upon Tyne (Lib Dem Defence) Result of last election to council (2014): Labour 52, Liberal Democrats 24, Independents 2 (Labour majority of 26) Result of ward at last election (2011): Liberal Democrats 870 (37%), Labour 770 (33%), Conservatives 419 (18%), Greens 273 (12%0 Candidates duly nominated: Duncan Crute (Con),…