But does this benefit NO or YES? Less than three hours to go and all the indications that that the turnout is very large. At this stage there’s nothing to measure it against and it’s hard making a prediction on something which there’s an active betting market. Quite who this benefits most is also hard to say. Whether it is YES getting out the first time voters or NO bringing in the “Shy Noes” or maybe it’s a large slab…
Final @IpsosMORI phone poll has YES 47 NO 53 This is same as @Survation phone poll where fieldwork finished at 9pm last night — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2014 @IpsosMORI poll carried out Monday & Tues had 2% NO lead The one completed last night had 6% NO lead. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2014 So the last poll is out. The Ipsos-MORI phone survey completed yesterday evening has a 6% lead. That compares with a 2% lead in its poll…
How millions of Scottish voters fill in this form today will determine the future of the UK. pic.twitter.com/ascFqVwoDW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2014 It was in Quebec in Oct 1995 when the separatists lost The final polls from the 1995 Quebec referendum when NO won by a fraction of 1% pic.twitter.com/Kx62Ck5uls — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2014 Two hours before the polling stations open the Betfair exchange makes NO an 82% chance. Could punters be wrong? — Mike…
YouGov sees no change whilst Survation’s phone poll sees No’s lead cut by 2%, all the final polls have No ahead.If no wins, it’ll be the oldies and women that wins it for them Final YouGov #indyref poll has no ahead No 52 (nc) Yes 48 (nc) — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 17, 2014 New @Survation #indyref phone poll sees No 53 (-1) Yes 47 (+1) http://t.co/QYlhTN4gx6 — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 17, 2014 YouGov/Times: The 25 to 29 age…
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New @IpsosMORI indyref phone poll Yes 49% (+7) No 51% (-7) http://t.co/ocWIgiYXQr FIeldwork monday and tuesday — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 17, 2014 The changes are since the last Ipsos-Mori poll which was conducted at the start of August, it was before any of the debates, so it is coming into line with the other pollsters, given their track record at the 2011 Holyrood election, it will cause great alarm at Better Together, this is a phone poll, and…
Welcome to PB’s Indyref prediction competition, you need to enter the % Yes will achieve, and the % turnout. Shadsy of Ladbrokes has generously donated £50 of free bets to the winner who gets the yes percentage spot on, or nearest to it. Please click here to submit your entry. Entries should be to two decimal places. Please note that you will need to have a Ladbrokes account or be ready to open one if you win. This means that…
Confusion might be best for those wanting a bet Here at PB we generally like pollsters (especially if they drop by to read and boost traffic numbers). I’m sure many of them are lovely people (a couple have even retweeted me occasionally) but it’s mostly the polls they produce that we like (sometimes with the slight undercurrent of getting a fix supplied). As a site where we mix polling and betting good data on likely outcomes is valuable as well…