Two polls so far – Populus remains level pegging while CON Ashcroft lead falls back 4

Two polls so far – Populus remains level pegging while CON Ashcroft lead falls back 4

Comments 0 Comment

The signs start going up pic.twitter.com/xqrNRNCR60 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 @LordAshcroft final poll detailsCON 32%, LAB 30%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%, GRN 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 I'm told there'll be another Populus poll so latest one wasn't finalCon 34 (+1), Lab 34 (+1), Ukip 13 (-2), LD 10+1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 Just got back from London where I recorded several TV interviews plus made a contribution to the BBC…

Read More Read More

The YouGov poll at this point in the 2010 race got the CON-LAB margin almost exactly right – should we be expecting the same of the latest poll?

The YouGov poll at this point in the 2010 race got the CON-LAB margin almost exactly right – should we be expecting the same of the latest poll?

Comments 0 Comment

The 2010 YouGov poll two days before GE10 got the LAB CON margin almost spot on. A good precedent for GE15? pic.twitter.com/t7h1G64m3a — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 It’s back to level-pegging in latest poll After a spate of 1% LAB or CON leads the latest YouGov Sun poll breaks the pattern – level peggingCON 33LAB 33 LD 10 UKIP 12GRN 5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 4, 2015 On Betfair CON most seats is an 82% chance CON…

Read More Read More

Marf’s latest cartoon

Marf’s latest cartoon

Comments 0 Comment

If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. YouGov/Sun poll tonight – Labour and Tories are tied: CON 33%, LAB 33%, LD 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 5% — Sun Politics (@SunPolitics) May 4, 2015

ICM phone poll naming Clegg has him holding Sheffield Hallam thanks to tactical Tory voters

ICM phone poll naming Clegg has him holding Sheffield Hallam thanks to tactical Tory voters

Comments 0 Comment

The guardian/@ICMResearch Sheffield Hallam poll. Top graphic is naming the candidates. pic.twitter.com/FwwlOWuQ1v — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 4, 2015 ICM have conducted a poll for the Guardian in Sheffield Hallam, seat of Nick Clegg. Nick Clegg is on course to be saved from defeat in his Sheffield Hallam constituency by a tide of tactical Tory votes, according to a special Guardian/ICM poll conducted in the deputy prime minister’s constituency. The poll puts Clegg on 42%, seven points clear of his young…

Read More Read More

Survation’s ballot paper voting responses raise questions about incumbency boosts on which the Tories are relying so much

Survation’s ballot paper voting responses raise questions about incumbency boosts on which the Tories are relying so much

Comments 0 Comment

Are CON incumbents really going to get a bonus? In its latest poll for the Mail on Sunday Survation added a new dimension – a voting question based on the precise ballot paper that each of the 2100 people sampled will actually fill in on Thursday or have already done so with postal votes. This was an online poll and the replica ballot papers are generated for each participant by their post code. If there is going to be a…

Read More Read More

John Curtice on the exit poll

John Curtice on the exit poll

Comments 0 Comment

John Curtice on the forthcoming exit poll http://t.co/887u4v1Yw3 pic.twitter.com/jjId8N7T5f — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 3, 2015 Just after 10pm on Thursday, the exit poll for the BBC/ITV/Sky News will be published, at the last two elections, it has been virtually spot on. However this year, it might be more difficult, as they are also going to give UKIP and SNP seat totals as the era of three party politics has come to an end. From the article John Curtice has said…

Read More Read More