Exit poll: Cons 316, Lab 239, LD 10, SNP 58, PC 4, UKIP 2, Green 2, Others 19 — Ross Hawkins (@rosschawkins) May 7, 2015 I would urge caution until we see quite a few actual results At the last two elections, the exit poll has been unerringly accurate, but this time, even the architects have their doubts, due to the emergence of UKIP and the SNP. There should be a few other exit polls, not quite as authoritative as…
This is the real battle-ground The big question tonight is whether LAB can make enough gains from the Tories to offset the likely losses in Scotland where, on some polls, the red team could could every seat. The good news for them is that it is not CON which is benefiting but the SNP. This means that the loss of all 40 current LAB Scottish seats can be be offset, in terms of the most seats battle with the Tories,…
And here's our final poll -Lab 35%, Cons 36%, UKIP 11%, LibDem 8% http://t.co/iAH7Vr5FhI — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) May 7, 2015 LAB voters with Ipsos more certain to vote than CON ones. See chart pic.twitter.com/Kk8D6TiQ8w — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 7, 2015 Chart from @LordAshcroft final final poll. pic.twitter.com/EpJ40rxTko — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 7, 2015 All the final phone polls are showing moves to LAB – a common trend. I — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 7, 2015…
4½ hours before voting starts – the spread betting markets from @SportingIndex http://t.co/rSKroIPwt1 pic.twitter.com/lMxvAWzHll — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 7, 2015 By Aidan Nutbrown, senior trader at Sporting Index with overall responsibility for the firm’s Election markets The regulars of this parish will no doubt be very familiar with our host’s frequent highlighting of the difference in Sporting Index’s Conservative seats price and our Labour seats price. Why is it that this market seems so different from most pollsters’ forecasts…
Final @ComResPolls poll for @DailyMailUK Con 35% (NC) Lab 34% (+2) Lib Dem 9% (NC) UKIP 12% (-2) Green 4% (NC) Others 6% (NC) — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) May 6, 2015 25% of those likely to vote are undecided or may change their mind before tomorrow: @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) May 6, 2015 Preferred Prime Minister: David Cameron 52%, Ed Miliband 31% @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) May 6, 2015 BREAKING: Final YouGov/Sun poll for…
PanelbaseLAB 33% (-1), CON 31% (-1%), UKIP 16% (-1), LD 8% (NC), GRN 5% (+1), SNP 5%, OTH 2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015
The ICM Guardian poll pic.twitter.com/RLLLQ0Ri1a — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 The ICM 3% increase for LAB looks good for EdM and worrying for CON. Tonight's poll is first from firm since Jan that CON not ahead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 But all four phone pollsters will continue fieldwork this evening and be issuing final final polls.
New Panelbase poll of Scottish voting intention has SNP in its dominant position SNP 48LAB 26CON 14LD 5UKIP 3GRN 2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 The main findings of a ComRes poll of undecided voters for ITV's Good Morning Britain pic.twitter.com/RwOidh5w8v — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 New YouGov/Standard poll for London hasLAB 46CON 33LD 9UKIP 8GN 3A 5.5% CON to LAB swing since GE10 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 TNS final poll – CON…