Just a reminder how LAB leadership favourite Andy Burnham did last time out
How Andy Burnham did in the 2010 LAB leadership contest. pic.twitter.com/onH9egk8Vw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 18, 2015
Marf on the LAB leadership as Liz Kendall gets closer in the betting
Liz Kendall moves to joint 2nd favourite in betting for next LAB leader pic.twitter.com/Jyvj2c5LrT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 18, 2015 According to Huffington post the move by UNITE to get behind Andy Burnham might be back-backfiring. “Backers of Liz Kendall are hoping that an influx of new party members and supporters will wrest control of the Labour leadership race back from Len McCluskey. The Unite general secretary is facing a backlash from MPs and local constituency parties after threatening…
As the post GE15 polling debate continues SPIN’s Aidan Nutbrown asks “Are Elections Random?”
The outcome showed why punters should expect the unexpected Albert Einstein famously said: “God doesn’t play diceâ€. He was wrong. Everything has a random element to it. I aim to board the 8.08 train each morning but sometimes for unforeseen reasons I miss it. And sometimes for unforeseen reasons it doesn’t appear. This uncertainty is precisely why betting is fun, and why bookies exist. It is a given that sports events have large degrees of uncertainty to them. A horse…
Labour should not be too pessimistic about their chances of taking power in 2020
The Conservative Party will be fighting the next general election without their strongest asset, David Cameron. There’s some pessimism from Labour supporters about their chances at the next election. For example, Jon Cruddas in today’s Observer says “this could be the greatest crisis the Labour party has ever faced” whilst some are suggesting, that Sir Keir Starmer, the former Director of Public Prosecutions, and someone who has been an MP for a little over week, is the man to save Labour,…
The Labour leadership election gets exciting as the Unions try and install Andy Burnham as leader
Front page story of the @thesundaytimes via @hendopolis Story here http://t.co/YcqW88z1Mz pic.twitter.com/oiMiWoSH3Q — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 16, 2015 Looking at this story (££), it is probably bad news for Liz Kendall who is perceived to be the most Blairite of the contenders. The other interesting snippet from the Sunday Times piece, is that Burnham currently has 50 MPs backing him and is approaching 100 MPs as backers, which would mean not all the declared candidates will make it to the ballot…
GE2015: The Inquest. A special podcast in collaboration with Polling Matters
One of the great developments of the campaign has been the appearance of many new online resources for analysis and discussion. One of these has been the excellent Polling Matters created by Keiran Pedley of pollster GFK. This afternoon, in collaboration with Polling Matters, we have a special podcast featuring some of the key players. Keiran spent the last week speaking to several leading experts in the polling industry including Professor John Curtice, Lord Foulkes, Damian Lyons Lowe of Survation,…
David Herdson looks at the LDs following the GE15 outcome
This was the biggest disaster in nearly a century? The Lib Dems and their predecessors have been through some bad times over the years but what faces them now is their worst crisis in nearly a century. It is worse than the splits over Ireland under Gladstone that ended their pre-eminent position in the country; it is worse than the division between Asquith and Lloyd George, which ended them as a party of government; it is worse than the post-merger…
Henry G Manson, PB’s LAB insider, says Yvette, not Burnham, should be favourite for the party leadership
Under the new rules this is about organisation It’s only been a week but it’s shaping up to be a lively leadership and deputy contest so far. Some early discussion on lost voters, did Labour spend too much, was there much wrong with Labour’s manifesto if anything and even which type of unsuspecting supermarket shopper should the party pouncing on in the car parks in five years time. Is New Labour the right model for victory or was that where…