Ladbrokes saying that LAB leadership now a 2 horse race between Burnham & Kendall

Ladbrokes saying that LAB leadership now a 2 horse race between Burnham & Kendall

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Breaking: @ChukaUmunna, @StephenTwigg, @EmmaReynoldsMP & @jreynoldsMP endorse @LizforLeader: http://t.co/QLcpqkDXyM pic.twitter.com/5By69wRHMY — The New Statesman Politics (@TheStaggers) May 26, 2015 Ladbrokes say LAB leadership now 2 horse race between Burnham 4/5 & Kendall 7/4 who this morning was endorsed by Chuka Umunna. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 26, 2015 Very useful from the New Statesman. List of MPs’ endorsements of LAB leadership candidates – http://t.co/pBS4PqCfTL — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 26, 2015 I’m not sure that Yvette can be written out…

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The widespread assumption that Dave won’t lead CON into the next election might be wrong

The widespread assumption that Dave won’t lead CON into the next election might be wrong

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How much should we attach to the famous Landale interview? Whenever people discuss the next election they will invariably point out that the Tories will not, unlike 2010 and 2015, be led by David Cameron. All this is based on the televised kitchen conversation that the PM had with the BBC’s James Landale in March a week or so before the official campaign began. My reading after watching the video again is that this was not a firm commitment to…

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After the IndyRef experience it’s going to be harder not to allow 16/17 year olds to vote in the EU referendum

After the IndyRef experience it’s going to be harder not to allow 16/17 year olds to vote in the EU referendum

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? Shadow Foreign Secretary @hilarybennmp says Labour will seek to change EU bill:http://t.co/iYJyvaiOon #wato pic.twitter.com/jfFcQzGRds — The World at One (@BBCWorldatOne) May 25, 2015 When Alex Salmond pushed through his measure to allow 16 and 17 year olds to vote in last September’s IndyRef in Scotland it was only a matter of time before this became an issue for the whole of the country. With constitutional change, like Scotland going independent or Britain leaving the EU, there’s clearly a strong…

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New research finds that the Tories took a third of the ethnic minority vote at GE2015

New research finds that the Tories took a third of the ethnic minority vote at GE2015

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The million minority voters that put Cameron into Number Ten One million ethnic minority votes helped put David Cameron into Downing Street on election night, according to a major new piece of research into attitudes among minority voters released today. While LAB remains ahead with minority voters on 52%, the research finds that the gap between the two main parties is shrinking dramatically. One third (33%) of ethnic minority voters supported the CON in 2015, a stronger result than ever…

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Marf celebrates gay marriage with a cartoon …

Marf celebrates gay marriage with a cartoon …

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@MichaelWhite Let he who has never leaked, lied about his involvement, sought reelection, & owned up only when rumbled cast the first stone. — PeatWorrier (@PeatWorrier) May 24, 2015 The Scottish precedent has been set. https://t.co/5qQTr986wK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 24, 2015

Labour leadership. TV Hustings will give the unknowns a chance to shine

Labour leadership. TV Hustings will give the unknowns a chance to shine

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Liz Kendall now clear 2nd favourite in Labour's leadership election pic.twitter.com/Yv716zxQM7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 24, 2015 Don Brind on how the battle might evolve I sat in a pub in Croydon a couple of days before polling day after an evening canvassing with Clive. We agreed that we had a brilliant Labour candidate in Sarah Jones – but what about Ed Miliband and the doubts we had both heard on the doorsteps? What did Clive think? “He can’t…

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The trade union member who could be the next Tory leader

The trade union member who could be the next Tory leader

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George Osborne praising Robert Halfon’s campaign for cheaper fuel. I’ve always thought the next leader would be someone associated with George Osborne, he declined to run in 2005 and he probably will not enter the next Tory leadership election, and prefers to be the éminence grise for another Tory leader. Sajid Javid seemed to be best placed in such a scenario, but perhaps, there is another, the man who was Osborne’s Parliamentary Private Secretary prior to the election, Robert Halfon, who must…

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STAY likely to win the EU In/Out referendum for the same reason that CON won GE15 – the fear of the unknown

STAY likely to win the EU In/Out referendum for the same reason that CON won GE15 – the fear of the unknown

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The Wiki list of EU referendum polling this year. http://t.co/5NVImL1UKO pic.twitter.com/MYjeXmLBHU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 19, 2015 On the face of it the numbers look good for STAY but are they? One of the things that the Tory victory on May 7th ensures is that during this parliament there will be an in/out referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU. The question is which way will it go? A big campaigning lesson from the general election was how successfully…

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