The front page of today's "I" sums up Labour's crisis pic.twitter.com/A8HSVmtAoK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 12, 2015 Now LAB's most successful election winner intervenes in the leadership election. http://t.co/ov2rIWMldq pic.twitter.com/AKL8meWiLl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 12, 2015 Corbyn price on the Betfair exchange pic.twitter.com/ymMnpNwTcD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 13, 2015
I don’t know how seriously to take this move by the prominent, and highly lucid, Harvard law professor who wants to become president and then stand down after getting effective campaign finance reforms enacted. His strength as a communicator are shown in his promotional video. The key test is whether his plan to “crowd source” his bid is successful. If this does take off in any way then the Hillary campaign could be most effected. Her current dominating position has…
The Labour party leadership election has left the Blairites looking isolated. Some of Jeremy Corbyn’s supporters have described them as viruses and cancers, and have suggested that they look for the exit. Every Blairite from Tony Blair and Liz Kendall downwards has disavowed the idea of leaving the Labour party, but vows are spoken to be broken, and given the bitterness and the ideological divide they might in due course consider their options. Before doing so, they should look at…
Remember how the trade unions got round the rules at LAB’s last leadership election The mail-pack featured above, from the GMB union to those of its members entitled to vote in Labour’s last leadership election, played a pivotal role in 2010 in securing the prize for the younger Miliband brother. It was developed for the GMB, UNISON and UNITE unions as part of a plan to get round a Labour party ban on candidates’ promotional materials being included in the…
Carly Fiorina & Ted Cruz big movers in post debate GOP nominee poll by Survey Monkey for NBCTrump still dominates. pic.twitter.com/0kTuFSejLf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 11, 2015 Trump up 1 while Fiorina and Cruz the big gainers Away from the Labour leadership the most intriguing political betting market currently is on who will be the Republican party nominee for the November 2016 Presidential Election. Last Thursday we had the first live TV debates and today we’ve got the first…
Time is running out for the ABC (Anbody But Corbyn) campaigners Although it will be just over a month before the result in Labour’s leadership election will be announced the ballot packs go out on Friday. The experience of postal voting is that electors tend not to leave their ballots hanging around and fill them in very quickly. So a week today we must assume that a sizeable proportion of the selectorate will have filled in their ballots and put…
Dramatic changes in the betting YouGov's Peter Kellner says “I would personally be astonished if Mr Corbyn does not end up as Labour’s leader" — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 11, 2015 To think that Corbyn only got enough MP nominations to be on the ballot because Team Burnham thought it smart to "lend" him some — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 11, 2015 61% of women in YouGov LAB poll support Corbyn compared with 48% of men in the sample —…
Salmond & co should be doing better on the NHS Fewer than 1/3 of Scottish voters sampled by TNS rated the Scottish Government's management of NHS as good pic.twitter.com/MiYFrYMR7u — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2015 But a big 2016 Holyrood result looks on the cards New TNS Scottish poll finds SNP up to 62% in constituency section of next May's Holyrood election pic.twitter.com/R3718Ms0hn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2015