Hills starting taking bets on when we’ll see the likes of this again – LAB winning a majority

Hills starting taking bets on when we’ll see the likes of this again – LAB winning a majority

Comments 0 Comment

The Exit poll. 10pm May 5th 2005 Will Corbyn make the red-team unelectable? AS JEREMY CORBYN’s LAB leader odds are cut to their shortest yet at 2/9 (stake £9 for potential £2 profit) by William Hill, the bookies have also opened a market on when Labour will next achieve an overall majority government – and make between 2026-30 their 5/2 favourite – offering just 3/1 that it will not happen before 2031. Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe said ‘With so many…

Read More Read More

Iowa shock for Hillary Clinton as the state’s most accurate pollster has her caucus lead down to just 7%

Iowa shock for Hillary Clinton as the state’s most accurate pollster has her caucus lead down to just 7%

Comments 0 Comment

New Des Moines Register poll from Iowa, 1st state to decide, has Hillary lead down to 7%http://t.co/mkKa7O4us4 pic.twitter.com/ZsI6IBVIPb — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 30, 2015 If she looks vulnerable it could open up the whole race In the next five months we are going to hear an awful lot from Iowa which traditionally, with its caucuses, is the first state to decide on choosing a contender for the White House race. Because this is not a normal primary where people…

Read More Read More

In a strange land

In a strange land

Comments 0 Comment

Antifrank looks at The politics of immigration and asylum “Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free.”  These are words which find absolutely no purchase in Britain in 2015.  Fully 50% this month see immigration as one of the three most important issues facing Britain in Ipsos MORI’s regular poll for the Economist and it’s a safe bet that few of them are concerned that Britain isn’t getting enough foreigners. Proving anything with statistics If one…

Read More Read More

Opposition Leader Corbyn would be playing a dangerous game if he refused Privy Council status

Opposition Leader Corbyn would be playing a dangerous game if he refused Privy Council status

Comments 0 Comment

He really hasn’t thought this one through The reports earlier this week that Jeremy Corbyn would refuse membership of the Privy Council if he’s elected leader of the Labour Party would be more than a symbolic gesture against a seemingly anachronistic body; it would be a serious strike against the country’s unwritten constitution. Westminster is governed by rules evolved by gentlemen for gentlemen and the fact that the Commons is populated by professional politicians rather than the gentlemen amateurs of…

Read More Read More

Ex LAB voters in Newsnight Ipsos MORI focus groups rate Cooper top and Corbyn bottom

Ex LAB voters in Newsnight Ipsos MORI focus groups rate Cooper top and Corbyn bottom

Comments 0 Comment

IPSOS MORI focus groups of ex LAB voters for Newsnight finds Cooper most favoured. Corbyn lasthttp://t.co/dPd3A8Dv6J pic.twitter.com/mFnWKlH05R — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 28, 2015 Could the party be making a terrible mistake? Two sessions were held in Nuneaton and Croydon. These were both top targets for Labour on May 7th which they failed to win. The sessions will be shown on Newsnight this evening and be available on BBC IPlayer later. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Why it is not smart making non-voters your main priority

Why it is not smart making non-voters your main priority

Comments 0 Comment

Basing your electoral strategy on appealing to non-voters is like trying to sell cars to people who don't drive http://t.co/CpyWEYxRts — David Boothroyd (@220_d_92_20) August 28, 2015 If you couldn’t be arsed last May then the chances are that it will be the same next time It’s a seductive strategy that all parties try from time to time – make going for non-voters the main strategy but it is a wrong one. I’d argue that it is easier to persuade…

Read More Read More

Message to Andy, Yvette and Liz: Jeremy is a man you can do business with

Message to Andy, Yvette and Liz: Jeremy is a man you can do business with

Comments 0 Comment

Don Brind on how Labour should react to Corbyn’s likely victory It’s a pretty boring picture – two men and a woman standing in front of a model train. What made it newsworthy for the Metro, the London free sheet, in October 2007 was that the two men were Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Mayor of London Ken Livingstone. Flanked by the Transport Secretary Ruth Kelly they are gazing at a Crossrail train as the £16 billion project was given…

Read More Read More

Just one local by-election tonight – what looks like an interesting LAB defence in Barnsley against UKIP

Just one local by-election tonight – what looks like an interesting LAB defence in Barnsley against UKIP

Comments 0 Comment

Dearne North on Barnsley (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 55, Conservatives 4, Independents 4 (Labour majority of 47) Result of ward at last election (2014): Labour 1,179 (58%), United Kingdom Independence Party 752 (37%), Conservatives 103 (5%) Candidates duly nominated: Tony Devoy (Yorkshire First), Karen Fletcher (Trade Unionist and Socialist), Annette Gollick (Labour), Jim Johnson (UKIP), Lee Ogden (Con) Whilst it is true to say that Labour have Barnsley sewn up, it is not fair…

Read More Read More