Local By-Election Result : September 3rd 2015

Local By-Election Result : September 3rd 2015

Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen on Caerphilly (Lab defence) Result: Labour 1,002 (47% -14%), Plaid Cymru 509 (24% +14%), Douglas (Independent, nominated as UKIP) 223 (11%, no candidate in 2012), Dew (Independent) 184 (9%), Conservatives 109 (5%, no candidate in 2012), Davies (Independent) 106 (5%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 493 (23%) on a swing of 14% from Labour to Plaid Cymru * Independent vote in by-election 513 (25%), Independent vote in 2012 (29%). Change: -4%

Just one by-election tonight – a Labour defence in Wales

Just one by-election tonight – a Labour defence in Wales

Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen on Caerphilly (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 50, Plaid Cymru 20, Independent 3 (Labour majority of 27) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,854, 1,574, 1,282, 1,181 (61%) Non Party Independents 508, 484, 409, 254 (17%) Independents 438, 389, 378 (12%) Plaid Cymru 664, 258 (10%) Candidates duly nominated: Ray Davies (Ind), Ron Davies (Plaid), John Dew (Ind), Bobby Douglas (Ind, was UKIP), Lisa Jones (Lab),…

Read More Read More

Will Labour “go to the mattresses” if Corbyn wins?

Will Labour “go to the mattresses” if Corbyn wins?

Don Brind hopes that peace will break out There’s nothing erotic about going “to the mattresses”, as fans of the Godfather know. It’s violence not sex that Sonny Corleone has in mind when he declares that unless the Corleone clan get what they want “it’s all-out war, we go to the mattresses.” (It’s not safe for the “soldiers” to stay at home while the bloodletting ensues so they camp out in warehouses on those mattresses) Fears that the Labour party…

Read More Read More

Why Corbyn might not win the Labour leadership

Why Corbyn might not win the Labour leadership

All the ingredients for Corbyn to lose are there The Labour leadership contest seems to share a lot of the characteristics of the 2015 general election. We have the overwhelming enthusiastic social media support for a flawed candidate (that might not end up actually casting their vote), shy Tories*, the polls showing only outcome and betting sentiment heavily in favour of the polling outcome. We’ve only had two public polls on this leadership election and the potential sampling and weighting…

Read More Read More

The way’s clear for Carly Fiorina to take on Trump directly in the next GOP debate on September 16th

The way’s clear for Carly Fiorina to take on Trump directly in the next GOP debate on September 16th

Carly Fiorina gets promoted to the top table for the Sep 16 CNN Republican nominee debate pic.twitter.com/vl1RXievEm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 2, 2015 CNN changes its rules so she can be at the top table One of the huge problems for US broadcasters is that so many people have declared themselves as contenders for the Republican party nomination. The current count is about 16 or 17 which clearly is far too big a number for a TV debate to…

Read More Read More

Getting ready for the expected Corbyn victory – leading party figures change their approach

Getting ready for the expected Corbyn victory – leading party figures change their approach

Why have Umunna and others changed their tone on Corbyn? Because they don't want to be blamed if he fails. #r4today — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) September 2, 2015 Asked where he agrees with Corbyn, Umunna cites industrial strategy and changing the structure of the economy. #r4today — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) September 2, 2015 Umunna doesn't rule out serving in a Corbyn shadow cabinet if he changes his programme. But odds are still against it. #r4today — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) September…

Read More Read More

Reports say the EU referendum could be held as early as next April

Reports say the EU referendum could be held as early as next April

.@BBCAllegra hs learned govt considering holding EU ref as early as April 2016 to exploit weakness of Corbyn-led Labour Party #newsnight — Ian Katz (@iankatz1000) September 1, 2015 On the day Cameron accepted the electoral commission suggestion to change the wording of the EU referendum question, and UKIP turned the OUT movement into a modern day equivalent of the People’s Front for Judea versus the Judean People’s Front, this is probably the most interesting news of the day. It may…

Read More Read More