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Meanwhile a message from Marf & council by election results

11/9/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Leith Walk on Edinburgh (SNP and Green defence) Result: SNP 2,290 (36% +7%), Labour 1,623 (26% -7%), Green Party 1,381 (22% +2%), Conservative 501 (8% unchanged), Liberal Democrats 255 (4% -1%), UKIP 102 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Scottish Socialists 97 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Left Unity 32 (1%, no candidate in 2012), Independent 26 (0% -3%), Libertarian 17 (0%, no candidate in 2012) SNP HOLD on the first count, Labour GAIN from Green on the tenth…

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Yes we Khan – Sadiq Khan wins the London Mayoral nomination 59% to 41%

11/9/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Comprehensive victory for Khan over Jowell. 59% for Khan to Jowell’s 41%. This wasn’t even close. pic.twitter.com/wg3h48AIN5 â€” TSE (@TSEofPB) September 11, 2015 This should also be great news for Mr Corbyn as Khan won every round, it wasn’t even close I know this will earn me the wrath of Khan and his supporters, but the likely Conservative nominee Zac Goldsmith will be delighted with this as the polling generally shows him beating Khan but not Jowell. But as Dame…

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Some fashion advice for Jeremy Corbyn

11/9/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Michael Foot at the Cenotaph on Remembrance Sunday 1981 wearing the ‘donkey jacket’ that wasn’t pic.twitter.com/aPRxo3ngoI — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 11, 2015 Mr Corbyn needs to choose his wardrobe and words very carefully If as expected Labour elect Jeremy Corbyn, his first official appearance as Leader of Her Majesty’s Most Loyal Opposition won’t be Prime Minister’s Questions next Wednesday but a day earlier when the new Labour Leader should be attending a commemoration of the seventy-fifth anniversary of the Battle…

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Local By-Election Preview : 2 Con, SNP, Lab and 1 Green Defences

10/9/2015 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Leith Walk on Edinburgh (SNP and Green defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 20, Scottish National Party 18, Conservatives 11, Greens 6, Liberal Democrats 3 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 10) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,674 , 937 (33%) Scottish National Party 1,735, 502 (29%) Green Party 1,593 (20%) Conservatives 637 (8%) Liberal Democrats 400 (5%) Independents 109, 91 (3%) Trade Unionist and Socialist 109 (1%) Liberal Party 69…

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Voting has now closed and the speculation begins

10/9/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Predicted #Labour vote shares, based on Ladbrokes' odds. Corbyn wins on first preferences. pic.twitter.com/EgaL2onfCu — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 10, 2015 A Â£6000 bet on Corbyn in Essex betting shop as his odds shorten again, from 1/6 to 1/7; 7/1 Cooper; 9/1 Burnham; 150/1 Kendall. #Corbyn — William Hill (@sharpeangle) September 10, 2015 Diane Abbott cut from 33/1 to 20/1 to be London Mayor as voting for Labour's candidate closes. http://t.co/QRYVOgWrgr pic.twitter.com/ovHwgpTd0W — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 10, 2015 .@itvnews…

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Tomorrow we might get an indication if Corbynmania is all mouth and no ballots

10/9/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

A victory for Baroness Jowell might give hope to the Anyone But Corbyn movement Assuming no more problems, sometime on Friday Labour will announce who has won the race to be their candidate for London Mayor. It could be that the result of this race could help be a pointer to the Labour leadership result. Lady Jowell as a Blairite should theoretically be the least appealing candidate to the returning left that have so dominated the electorate for these elections.Â A…

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Polling Matters / Political Betting Podcast with Ed Milband’s former spokesman James Stewart

9/9/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

In the latest PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran spoke to former Ed Miliband spokesman James Stewart about his experiences of the Scottish Referendum and General Election campaigns, why he thinks Ed Miliband was unable to win and what happens to Labour if Jeremy Corbyn becomes leader this weekend. You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley and James at @Jimmy_Stew Keiran Pedley

Reminder: There’ve been only 2 published LAB polls the latest a month ago

9/9/2015 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

At this stage in 2007 deputy race Alan Johnson was odds-on favourite as was DavidM in 2010 Unlike in the 2010 Labour contest there has been no published polling of those eligible that has taken place since voting actually started. Last time the final YouGov poll was carried out about 6 days after the ballot packs went out and a key question was whether people had actually voted at that stage. This time the final poll was published just as…

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