The Guardian’s right – the Adonis move is a major coup for Osborne

The Guardian’s right – the Adonis move is a major coup for Osborne

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The Guardian main lead on Lord Adonis http://t.co/f5VIKvvhDx pic.twitter.com/69rq9jE7QG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 5, 2015 Are others waiting to follow the ex-LAB cabinet minister? It has been pointed out very strongly overnight that Lord Adonis has not left the Labour Party. Maybe. But instead of being a Labour peer he will in future sit with the crossbenchers in the House of Lords which is a big move. You can understand some of the frustration for Adonis. While he was…

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Lots of rumours going round of a major LAB figure about to quit the party

Lots of rumours going round of a major LAB figure about to quit the party

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I am hearing rumours of a high profile resignation from Labour tomorrow — Phillip Blond (@Phillip_Blond) October 4, 2015 Could it be linked to Osbo’s speech tomorrow? I’ve no information whatsoever but I just wonder whether we might see a high level defection from the red team to the blues. Osbo speaks tomorrow and he’s the sort of guy who could well be behind such a move. This might be nothing or it might be a major development. Philip Blond…

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Antifrank says what should we think about polling now?

Antifrank says what should we think about polling now?

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Most people were taken by surprise by the general election result in May.  Why?  Well, most people’s expectations were set by the abundance of opinion polls which by election day had settled on a consensus showing the two main parties neck and neck at around 33% or 34%.  The actual result, with the Conservatives on 37% and Labour on 31%, came as a bombshell.  (In fairness to the pollsters, they were not alone – David Cameron reportedly had not written…

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The buzzword bingo on Cameron’s conference speech

The buzzword bingo on Cameron’s conference speech

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The @LadPolitics market on what Cameron will say during his conference speech. https://t.co/1VsQqUikrJ pic.twitter.com/KgBB1oQ0hZ — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 4, 2015 Ladbrokes have a market up on “Which exact words or phrases will Cameron use in his Conference speech?” The normal caveat on this type of betting market needs to reiterated. These sorts of markets usually act as a bookmaker’s bonus found. However I do like the “You Can’t Trust Labour” at 5/1 as it would fit in with the pattern that the…

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Antifrank’s 50/1 tip to be next Labour leader

Antifrank’s 50/1 tip to be next Labour leader

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Antifrank explains why he’s bet on John McDonnell to be the next Labour leader  Jeremy Corbyn has been leader of the Labour party for just over a fortnight and already there are rumblings about who might replace him.  Some bookies already have markets up and running (though they may well have more value at present for publicity rather than for making money).  Are there any bargains out there? Jeremy Corbyn may leave office in many years time after a stint…

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David Herdson says “look to the outsiders for Cameron’s successor”

David Herdson says “look to the outsiders for Cameron’s successor”

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Most Con leaders were off the radar four years before they got the job The clock is ticking on David Cameron’s leadership. As delegates meet for the first Conservative conference of his last term, minds will already be turning to the question of who will succeed him. It’s probably far too soon to be doing so. Ever since the Magic Circle method of election was abolished, the Conservatives have consistently surprised with their choices. In fact, four years before they…

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