ComRes: Osborne 6% behind Boris as “best PM” and just a third say that cutting tax credits is necessary

ComRes: Osborne 6% behind Boris as “best PM” and just a third say that cutting tax credits is necessary

Comments 0 Comment

Conservatives have 13 point lead over Labour in new Sunday Mirror / Independent on Sunday Poll pic.twitter.com/zTgDXle97z — ComRes (@ComResPolls) October 17, 2015 39% say Boris would make a better PM than Osborne who is at 33%. But CON voters prefer Osborne to Boris by 48% to 34% CON lead now 13% in latest ComRes online poll for IoS/S Mirror CON 42% LAB 29-1 LD 7=    UKIP 13= No Corbyn bonus there ComRes Cameron & Osborne have and 19 point lead over…

Read More Read More

Rubio takes over the Republican nominee favourite slot on Betfair

Rubio takes over the Republican nominee favourite slot on Betfair

Comments 0 Comment

Florida Senator Marco Rubio ousts ex-Florida governor, Jeb Bush, as GOP nominee Betfair betting favourite pic.twitter.com/TI0ObR5IG7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2015 How pathetic for @realdonaldtrump to criticize the president for 9/11. We were attacked & my brother kept us safe. — Jeb Bush (@JebBush) October 16, 2015 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

The US Presidential Election: David Herdson’s guide to analysis

The US Presidential Election: David Herdson’s guide to analysis

Comments 0 Comment

Wikimedia Commons Ten tips for successful prediction The US presidential election is the biggest single political betting event, which is excellent news for serious analysts and players because it probably means that there’s a lot of amateur, uninformed money to be matched against. Not every election will produce a 50/1 winner but there’s nearly always value to be found for the astute. How? Here are some tips: 1. Follow US media: America is a different country Deceptively so. Some surface…

Read More Read More

Methinks that Osborne might have to U-turn on tax credits

Methinks that Osborne might have to U-turn on tax credits

Comments 0 Comment

The exchange from last night’s Question Time The above clip from last night’s Question Time has been doing the rounds throughout the day and highlights the challenge facing minsters, particularly Osborne, over his budget tax credits move which is due to come into place in the next couple of months. With Boris and the Sun already pressing hard for change this is an issue that has the potential to hurt the blue team just when everything seemed to be going…

Read More Read More

This week’s Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast puts the focus on Monday’s Canadian General Election

This week’s Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast puts the focus on Monday’s Canadian General Election

Comments 0 Comment

Will the Tories hang on? This week the Politicalbetting.com / Polling Matters podcast goes international and discusses the upcoming Canadian General Election that takes place on the 19th October. Is the Conservative PM Stephen Harper facing defeat to Liberal Justin Trudeau? How will the NDP do and how similar are Quebec and Scottish nationalism? Finally could the Canadian polls – currently showing the Liberals heading for victory – be wrong as the polls were in the UK? Keiran and Rob…

Read More Read More

For only the second time since May UKIP holds onto a ward in a local council by-election

For only the second time since May UKIP holds onto a ward in a local council by-election

Comments 0 Comment

Chatteris on Cambridgeshire (UKIP defence) Result: United Kingdom Independence Party 600 (41% +6%), Conservative 590 (40% +6%), Liberal Democrat 274 (19% -2%) United Kingdom Independence Party HOLD with a majority of 10 (1%) on a neglible swing from Conservative to United Kingdom Independence Party Howgate on Cumbria (Lab defence) Result: Labour 436 (48% -12%), Conservative 304 (33% +2%), United Kingdom Independence Party 176 (19%, no candidate in 2013) Labour HOLD with a majority of 132 (15%) on a swing of…

Read More Read More

YouGov Democrat debate polling finds Hillary getting big boost from this week’s event

YouGov Democrat debate polling finds Hillary getting big boost from this week’s event

Comments 0 Comment

It’s becoming harder to see how she can be beaten for the nomination By far the biggest political betting story at the moment is the fight for the presidency of the United States. Although the election itself is 13 months away we are now going through the early stages of the party jostling as both Democrat and Republican hopefuls try to position themselves ahead of the primaries which start in February. This week saw the first TV debate for the…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Preview : October 15th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : October 15th 2015

Comments 0 Comment

Chatteris on Cambridgeshire (UKIP defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): United Kingdom Independence Party 584 (35%), Conservative 579 (34%), Liberal Democrat 358 (21%), Labour 159 (9%) Candidates duly nominated: John Freeman (Lib Dem), Richard Mandley (United Kingdom Independence Party), Alan Melton (Con) So far since the general election there have…

Read More Read More