This is a chart that we’ll see a lot over the coming months as we get closer to the election day in the EU referendum. My plan is to update it regularly showing changes so we can see how gambling sentiment is changing. As of 3.10 am this morning the total wagered on the Betfar Exchange was £136,420 so we are starting to observe a degree of liquidity in the market. If the Scottish IndyRef is anything to go by…
https://twitter.com/Stronger_In/status/664143550305722368 NHS CE Simon Stevens says it need more cash #LeaveEU https://t.co/NvjRdFD5HC pic.twitter.com/F5SBydvoPH — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 11, 2015 Mission Possible: Meaningless gestures presented as meaningful reform. Read our blog here: https://t.co/g5Ybafod3G pic.twitter.com/teAJ2P2LTJ — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 10, 2015
John Bickley UKIP – 2nd favourite to win Oldham by-election https://t.co/9vjHVDFG2y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 With the EU dominating the headlines the time should be ripe for the Purples Because it is the first by-election of the current parliament and because of its proximity to Heywood & Middleton where UKIP came very close just over a year ago expectations are running very high for UKIP in Oldham. The candidate is the same and, like Heywood, Oldham West…
Rubio once again the most accomplished & good for Trump Overnight we have had the latest TV debate in the search to find the Republican nominee for next year’s White House Race. Compares with the last such event a couple of weeks ago which was poorly moderated this was a far better organised and much more inormative It was organised by Fox Business and the Wall Street Journal and there were no real losers or runaway winners. It was the…
FWIW, the new @ppppolls shows @RealBenCarson supporters in SC disagree w/ him on the pyramids by a 69-9-1 margin pic.twitter.com/1DUVYo2e1J — Aaron Booth (@ActorAaronBooth) November 10, 2015 Trump says his opponent has a psychological disease The reason, of course, for this polling question is that current front-runner for the Republican nomination, the former neuro surgeon Ben Carson, has put forward an astonishing theory about their origin. This from Buzzfeed. ..He rejected the widely held belief among archaeologists that most of…
Aside from the EU a developing story at Westminster is the decision by the SNP to vote against the planned changes on Sunday trading that Osborne announced in the budget for England and Wales. In Scotland this is a devolved matter with decisions being made at Holyrood. Inevitably this will raise the whole English Votes for English Laws (EVEL) debate because of the devolved nature of such a measure. But before we get too deep into this let’s remember that…
According to Betfair punters LAB is rock solid in Oldham by-election with 92.5% chance of victory pic.twitter.com/m9THvWH3Dk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 The battle for the lower positions is what’s interesting The panel above shows the latest position on Betfair in the Oldham by-election. Just about all the money is being wagered on Labour and it is very difficult to see any betting interest in going against that. The judgement of punters so far is that Labour’s new…
Look at how Cameron's view will be absolutely crucial in the EU referendum. If he says REMAIN it'll be decisive pic.twitter.com/VAKLvzbpr7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 9, 2015 This is the latest example of the polling I referred to in my post this morning.