The Commons might be about to vote for Syrian air strikes but the public is becoming less convinced

The Commons might be about to vote for Syrian air strikes but the public is becoming less convinced

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Support for air strikes against Syria falling sharply pic.twitter.com/LxnWVMKTsJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 Men strongly in favour – women much less certain As we come to the crucial Commons vote on Syria there’s new YouGov polling in the Times this morning that suggests that support for British action is declining with, now, fewer than half of those sampled approving. YouGov had this at 48%. The affairs impacting on the Labour leadership appear to have overshadowed the movement…

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Corbyn’s leader rating with YouGov drops to a calamitous minus 41% (Updated with YouGov chart)

Corbyn’s leader rating with YouGov drops to a calamitous minus 41% (Updated with YouGov chart)

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YouGov chart showing trend in its Well/badly ratings for Corbyn and Cameron. pic.twitter.com/nSkFejGT7c — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 Corbyn's YouGov well/badly ratings drops to new low. Just 24% saying he is doing well and 65% badly. Amongst GE2015 LAB voters he's a net -6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 Corbyn's record YouGov well/badly rating of -41% compares with the -6% in September just after he won the leadership — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 CON…

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Win the definitive book of the 2015 General Election in the PB Oldham by-election competition

Win the definitive book of the 2015 General Election in the PB Oldham by-election competition

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Will the collective view of PBers once again get the outcome right? Using the bespoke NoJam template you will need to enter vote shares down to 2 decimal points for the parties. The prize will go to the person with the smallest overall error. With previous PB by-election competitions the collective view of PBers has been a pretty accurate guide to the final outcome. Let’s see if we can do it again. All the entries can be seen here. As…

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Imagine what next Monday’s PLP meeting is going to be like if LAB loses Oldham

Imagine what next Monday’s PLP meeting is going to be like if LAB loses Oldham

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Another Tuesday morning after the LAB meeting the night before It’s Tuesday morning and like many other Tuesdays since Mr Corbyn had his huge victory in the Labour leadership election the political news is dominated by what happened at the weekly meeting of the Parliamentary Labour Party. Last night the massive chasm between Corbyn and his MPs never appeared wider and it is hard to see how this can get any better. This is the new normality. Corbyn has not…

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Betting on a UKIP by-election upset in the absence of hard polling

Betting on a UKIP by-election upset in the absence of hard polling

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More from Aby Tomlinson – the energetic LAB campaigner who tweeted about the responses she was getting in Oldham pic.twitter.com/idnhv91aa9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2015 Alastair Meeks gives his view Oldham West & Royton should have been a spectacularly boring by-election.  It is a previously-safe Labour seat held at the last general election by a leftwing MP with a thumping majority and an absolute majority of votes cast.  To gain it, UKIP would require a swing of 17.1%. …

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New large sample poll finds just 43% of GE2015 LAB voters saying they approve of Corbyn as party leader

New large sample poll finds just 43% of GE2015 LAB voters saying they approve of Corbyn as party leader

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The more educated you are the more likely you’ll approve of JC as LAB leader This is a new venture by Ian Warren of Election Data who in the run-up to GE2015 provided analysis for two of the main parties. He devised the questions and provided the analysis. YouGov did the fieldwork. The initial release relates to just English adults – other parts are to follow. Overall amongst the entire sample Corbyn had 23% saying they approved of him with…

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Welcome to week 13 of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership

Welcome to week 13 of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership

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His supporters now saying that EdM was a Tory This looks set to be massive political week with Syria and, of course, on Thursday the first by-election of the 2015 parliament. Just about everything in British politics is now looked at through the prism of the impact on Labour’s new leadership. Is Corbyn going to try to impose a whip on his party to oppose Syrian air-strikes and what happens to his party either way? The by-election is looking tighter…

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