Will the collective view of PBers once again get the outcome right?

Using the bespoke NoJam template you will need to enter vote shares down to 2 decimal points for the parties. The prize will go to the person with the smallest overall error.

With previous PB by-election competitions the collective view of PBers has been a pretty accurate guide to the final outcome. Let’s see if we can do it again.

All the entries can be seen here. As usual I am in my absolute discretion the total arbiter of all matters relating to the competition. Entries close on Wednesday at 1700 GMT.

I am pleased to announce that Palgrave has agreed to provide a prize of a copy of the Cowley/Kavanagh book on GE2015. The winner will receive the prize once the book is published later this month. I find that past volumes in this series are an absolutely vital resource and record of what happened together with insightful psephological analysis. They are also a good read.

Click on the menu to check what others are doing and the overall summary prediction.

Thanks to Mark Hopkins Nojam for creating the competition widget.

Mike Smithson

Follow @MSmithsonPB

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