Why GE2020 should NOT be between Osborne and Corbyn

Why GE2020 should NOT be between Osborne and Corbyn

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Both would be liabilities for their parties Today’s PMQs was without Cameron so it was George Osborne facing Labour’s official deputy Anna Eagle whose performance immediately set off betting speculation about her being Corbyn’s successor. Certainly by comparison with those from Labour who’ve been on that side of the House for several years Eagle was excellent. She was funny, warm and intellectually confident in a completely different league from her boss Mr. Corbyn and Ed Miliband who went before. You…

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At 10.30 am we’ll find out if the 2nd by-election of the 2015 parliament will be in Orkney and Shetland

At 10.30 am we’ll find out if the 2nd by-election of the 2015 parliament will be in Orkney and Shetland

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UPDATE Carmichael cleared Wednesday's The National front page:Carmichael:Judgment Day#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #scotpapers pic.twitter.com/mVRAzpxg2w — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) December 8, 2015 The election court will announce its decision in the Carmichael case If the case goes against the former Scottish Secretary then the LDs could lose the one seat in Scotland they hold and have to fight a by-election. Based on what happened in the Phil Woolas case in 2010 the Speaker might delay calling a vacancy in the constituency pending the…

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The 2016 London Mayoral race: Tories open their anti-Sadiq negative campaign

The 2016 London Mayoral race: Tories open their anti-Sadiq negative campaign

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The 1st from the anti-Sadiq Khan campaign. The Tories are going to need to do much better than this. pic.twitter.com/TREAAZKSXh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 8, 2015 At the moment I’m not worried about my 50/1 Sadiq bet Like many PBers I’m on Sadiq Khan for London Mayor at longish odds following the excellent HenryG tip here two and a half years ago. My best price is 50/1 with PaddyPower so I’ve got a reasonably sized financial interest in the…

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Trump’s widely condemned comment about banning Muslims from entering the US might be smart politics

Trump’s widely condemned comment about banning Muslims from entering the US might be smart politics

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This is about winning the nomination Donald Trump’s statement about stopping Muslims from entering the US has been widely condemned both in America and round the world. In the UK David Cameron has joined those attacking the current GOP front runner and possibly the next President. But amidst all the noise some US pundits are saying that this might help the property billionaire just as there were polling indications that his position in Iowa, the first state to decide. was…

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Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s moderates have some thinking to do

Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s moderates have some thinking to do

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After a bruising week, Jeremy Corbyn has emerged stronger than ever writes Keiran Pedley leaving Labour’s moderates with plenty to think about. Every now and then a week comes along in British politics that is genuinely important and shapes what is to come. Last week was one of them. All of the ingredients pointed to a disaster for Jeremy Corbyn. From allegations that the leadership was ‘bullying’ MPs with farcical ‘consultations’ to a divisive Syria vote and THAT Hilary Benn…

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In a 140 charcacter tweet Glen O’Hara sums up the YouGov investigation into its GE2015 polling fail

In a 140 charcacter tweet Glen O’Hara sums up the YouGov investigation into its GE2015 polling fail

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Basically, too many pol engaged and/ or young people as a share of the sample. A bit like listening to Twitter. https://t.co/xoRZf2Klo9 — Glen O'Hara (@gsoh31) December 7, 2015 The big polling news tonight has been the publication of YouGov’s own inquiry into what went wrong. There’s a good summary by the firm’s Anthony Wells on his blog UK Polling report here. A real problem that has been mentioned many times before is that those who take part in political…

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Seven weeks to go before Iowa and Trump remains totally dominant

Seven weeks to go before Iowa and Trump remains totally dominant

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RCP Polling Average GOP Nominee Seven weeks tomorrow the first state to decide in next year’s White House Race will choose which of the Democratic and Republican Party hopefuls will be their choice as nominees. Hillary Clinton looks as though she has sewn up the Democratic race and most of the attention is on the Republicans. The chart above shows the national trend and as can be seen the property billionaire turned TV star is now back at his former…

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