Not much cheer for the red team 4 months after Corbyn was elected Another Saturday night and another dreadful poll for LAB and its leader. On voting intention there’s no change with the Tories on 40% and LAB on 29%. But it’s the other findings that should concern those in the Labour Party who are hoping for an early return to power. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
What LEAVE has to do now if it is to have any chance The EU referendum campaign may well already be over with Remain having won. In many ways, that shouldn’t be the case. Europe hardly presents a picture of radiant success on a practical level, while the idea of a common European home is laughable when states are re-erecting borders against each other. A troubled economy, social disharmony and a dysfunctional political system – what more could a Eurosceptic…
Donald Brind: From a Labour perspective Emily Thornberry, the new recruit to the Corbyn Shadow Cabinet has a sense of mischief and tells a great story about her General Election outing in 2001 in the safe Tory seat of Canterbury. Her opponent was Julian Brazier, who is proud of his family’s military heritage. His father was a lieutenant colonel and he spent 13 years as an officer the Territorial Army, five of them in the with the SAS. At a…
So what now for Farage’s party and the Referendum Campaign This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast talks about UKIP and the upcoming EU referendum with Professor Matthew Goodwin of the University of Kent. Goodwin is one of the foremost experts on UKIP and is co-author of ‘Revolt on the Right’ (2015 political book of the year) and the more recently ‘UKIP: Inside the campaign to redraw the map of British politics’. Topics covered on this week’s podcast include: 1) How is…
Launceston Central (Ind defence, elected as Lib Dem) on Cornwall Result of council at last election (2013): Independent 37, Liberal Democrats 36, Conservatives 31, Labour 6, United Kingdom Independence Party 6, Mebynon Kernow 4, Green Party 1 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 25) Result of ward at last election (2013): Liberal Democrat 551 (71%), Conservative 134 (17%), Labour 93 (12%) Candidates duly nominated: John Allman (Christian People’s Alliance), Val Bugden-Cawsey (Con), Roger Creagh-Osborne (Green), Gemma Massey (Lib Dem) Result…
Too many LAB supporters interviewed – not enough Tories A new report just published today by NatCen Social Research and authored by leading psephologist, Prof John Curtice, suggests that the polls called the General Election wrong primarily because the samples of people they polled were not adequately representative of the country as a whole. Rather than other explanations, such as a late swing to the Conservative Party, Labour abstentions, or so-called “shy Tories†not telling pollsters their true voting intentions,…
Just 18 days till Iowa Trump now the clear favourite on the Betfair exchange to become Republican nominee. Rated a 33.3% chance. pic.twitter.com/nme8WWCdbf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 14, 2016 For the Presidency he’s a 14.7% chance