This weeks PB/Polling Matters podcast seeks to find out what UK Muslims really think about terrorism

This weeks PB/Polling Matters podcast seeks to find out what UK Muslims really think about terrorism

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And how is public opinion changing on Syria? On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran speaks to Tom Mludzinski of ComRes about the firm’s polling among British Muslims earlier this year before speaking with Maria Sobolewska from the University of Manchester about her work looking at Muslim public opinion in the UK on terrorism and other issues. We then close the show with Tom Mludzinski again explaining how support for military action in Syria has increased since last…

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The return of Marf and tonight’s local by-election review by Harry Hayfield

The return of Marf and tonight’s local by-election review by Harry Hayfield

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Welcome back Marf Watton (UKIP defence) and South Smallburgh (Lib Dem defence) on Norfolk Result of council at last election (2013): Conservative 40, United Kingdom Independence Party 15, Labour 14, Liberal Democrats 10, Green Party 4, Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): Watton: United Kingdom Independence Party 808 (34%), Conservative 662 (27%), Independent 569 (24%), Labour 270 (11%), Green Party 102 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Timothy Birt (Green), Claire Bowes…

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Corbyn has the best satisfaction ratings of any leader in today’s Ipsos poll

Corbyn has the best satisfaction ratings of any leader in today’s Ipsos poll

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Farron ahead of Cameron November Ipsos pollIn net terms Corbyn has the best figures of any of the party leaders pic.twitter.com/UUHZhnHWH4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2015 UKIP drops to just 7% At last. Full details of today's Ipsos poll. Good for CON. UKIP drop to 7% – same as LDs pic.twitter.com/UhwyY553qq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2015

The battles between Corbyn and his MPs are not going to go away

The battles between Corbyn and his MPs are not going to go away

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“…the question of deselection, be it of Jeremy Corbyn or of recalcitrant MPs, will persist. True unity will not be achieved until the PLP reflects the leader, or the leader reflects the PLP. “It’s pretty nasty. This is not the fraternal Labour Party I know,” Ian Lavery, a Corbyn supporter, told me. The continuation of “internal warfare”, he warned, would lead to “unmitigated disaster”.- George Eaton New Statesman So far it’s not been a good week for Mr Corbyn. Clearly…

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The Lords vote to allow 16-17 year olds to take part in #EUREF

The Lords vote to allow 16-17 year olds to take part in #EUREF

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House of Lords has voted to allow 16 and 17-year-olds to vote in the upcoming referendum on EU membership #EUref — Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) November 18, 2015 Govt defeated by 82 votes as peers allow 16 & 17 year olds to take part in EU referendum — James Landale (@BBCJLandale) November 18, 2015 What’s this going to do to the timing and eventual outcome? Once again the upper house votes against the government

Nick Palmer: Why Angela Merkel is going to remain as German Chancellor

Nick Palmer: Why Angela Merkel is going to remain as German Chancellor

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She’s got staying power A regular feature of PB in recent weeks has been predictions that Chancellor Angela Merkel’s position is becoming increasingly untenable and either she will need to resign or the CDU poll rating will collapse. At one level, this seems borne out by the polls – Merkel’s popularity is down to 49%, still enviable by British standards but far below her historical average. This is not just important for Germany: widely seen as Europe’s most prominent national…

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Corbyn slumps to new YouGov leader ratings low while latest Survation #EUREF polling has REMAIN back in the lead

Corbyn slumps to new YouGov leader ratings low while latest Survation #EUREF polling has REMAIN back in the lead

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Even EdM had net positives at this stage It used to be that YouGov published its well/badly party leader ratings on a weekly basis. Now in this post-GE2015 polling disaster era we only get them once a month. The latest, for November, is just out for the Times and the figures continue to decline for Mr. Corbyn. Of those polled 52% said he was doing badly with 30% saying well. To put that into context on November 19th 2010 Ed…

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Pre “adjustment” ICM has LAB and CON level-pegging – after it the Tories are 6% ahead

Pre “adjustment” ICM has LAB and CON level-pegging – after it the Tories are 6% ahead

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Before ICM's adjustment for don't knows+refusers LAB had small lead. The headline figures were CON lead of 6% pic.twitter.com/RnhkpXqkvn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 17, 2015 After “adjustment” Con 39 (+1) Lab 33 (-1) UKIP 12 (+1) LD 7 (nc) In a note of explanation the pollster observes: It should be noted, however, that the raw data shows substantive change which our newly strengthened adjustment process disguises. Based on (pre-adjusted) turnout weighted data, the parties are neck and neck, which…

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