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Cruz wins the most delegates tonight but it looks like tonight was goodnight Rubio Saturday

6/3/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

It looks like the GOP establishment plan to stop Trump, as embodied by Mitt Romney, might be working, but is it too late? Summary of tonight's results. GOP: 2 states apiece for Trump & Cruz. Cruz gets the most delegates. pic.twitter.com/1qPi0H2Lt0 — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 6, 2016 After Super Tuesday Trump moved to an 83% implied chance on Betfair for nomination. Now a 64% implied chance pic.twitter.com/0eo6Tf6u70 — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 6, 2016 A fortnight ago Cruz was 70 on…

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Early indications are that Trump not going to have all his own way in the 4 states deciding today

5/3/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Real Clear Politics In Kansas he’s doing much worse than the polls Trump was 6% up in final Kansas poll. With 65% of votes counted he's 27% behind. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 5, 2016 After Super Tuesday Trump moved to an 83% chance on Betfair for nomination. Latest price 53% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 5, 2016

Holyrood 2016: the SNPâ€™s hegemony continues

5/3/2016 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

But how bad will it get for Scottish Labour? You wouldnâ€™t know if you only received your news from the London media but there are three general elections in the UK this year. Voters will go to the polls in May to elect new Assemblies in Wales and Northern Ireland and to the Scottish Parliament (as well as a London mayor, various lesser mayors, a bumper set of councillors and PCCs across England and Wales â€“ itâ€™s probably the biggest…

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Don’t expect anything to come of the GOP’s establishment effort to stop Trump

4/3/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

David Herdson on the US race The next rounds take place this weekend with four states electing delegates for the Republicans (Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and Maine) and four for the Democrats (Kansas,Louisiana,Maine and Nebraska). Much has been made of the apparent desire of the GOP establishment to stop Trump. Donâ€™t expect it to come to anything. The fact that there are two competing and opposing strategies to stop the Donald should reveal that both are inherently weak. The first strategy,…

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Local By-Election Results : March 3rd 2016

4/3/2016 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Bloomfield (Lab defence) on Blackpool Result: Labour 450 (58% +13%), Conservative 150 (19% -1%), United Kingdom Independence Party 118 (15% -10%), Green Party 32 (4% -5%), Liberal Democrat 31 (4%, no candidate in 2015) Labour HOLD with a majority of 300 (39%) on a swing of 7% from Conservative to Labour Alderholt (Con defence) on East Dorset Result: Conservative 384 (47% -16%), Liberal Democrat 376 (46%, no candidate in 2015), Labour 49 (6%, no candidate in 2015) Conservative HOLD with…

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Concern about the EU jumps to 4th in the latest Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

4/3/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The 20% figure is highest for 13 years Europe/EU jumps to 4th place in latest Ipsos-MORI Issues Index pic.twitter.com/HC51gYMMtU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2016 Concern about the EU by sub groups in the February Ipsos-MORI Issues Index pic.twitter.com/eDu0ez2jSG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2016 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet Politicalbetting/Polling Matters TV Show: Serious discussion for those seriously interested in political outcomes https://t.co/L8URISq49o — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 3, 2016

After the Romney attack on Trump the latest GOP Nominee TV debate

4/3/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The debate headline that sums up the GOP racepic.twitter.com/eFX6Gwnpl8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2016 Only a few hours after the anti Trump speech by 2012 nominee Mitt Romney the four remaining contenders were back on the stage together for the latest GOP debate. This was the summing up by Taegan Goddard of Political Wire “.. Donald Trump and Marco Rubio attacked each other in the harshest terms yet. Trump referred to â€œLittle Marcoâ€ while defending the size of…

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Local By-Election Preview : March 3rd 2016

3/3/2016 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Bloomfield (Lab defence) on Blackpool Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 29, Conservatives 13 (Labour majority of 16) Result of ward at last election (2015) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,045, 902 (45%) United Kingdom Independence Party 585 (25%) Conservative 463, 294 (20%) Green Party 202 (9%) Independent 37 (2%) Candidates duly nominated: Phil Armstrong (Green Party), Neil Close (Lib Dem), Jim Hobson (Lab), Tony Jones (Con), David Shackleton (United Kingdom Independence Party) If you excuse a flirtation…

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