Vote Leave spokesmen confirm stance: free trade with no free movement, no budget contributions and no supremacy of EU law. — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) April 19, 2016 This is like the man who divorces his wife & still expects dinner & a blowjob from her every night after the divorce https://t.co/JukIWSL6pI — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 19, 2016
Betfair punters rate Sadiq as 88% chance for London Mayor following the BBC TV debate pic.twitter.com/0XvUgfhnIZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 19, 2016 Under the moderation of Andrew Neil the five main contenders in the London Mayoral race took part in the big TV set piece of the election last night. In his normal manner Neil was pretty tough on all of them but I don’t think know it will have an impact on the direction of the race. Khan…
If it stays that way it’s good for REMAIN Today’s been a huge one in the build up to June 23rd. The Treasury statement announced by Osborne this morning has met with a furious reaction from the LEAVE and looking at the above polling you can see why. Detail from the ComRes/Sun poll shows responses to the question about which issue will be most important to voters in making up their minds. REMAIN backers the economy is twice as important…
https://twitter.com/robson_evan/status/722035639609376768 https://twitter.com/SimonGosden/status/721759490673139712 It’s in non-CON interests for the Tory battles to go on and on A party at war is pretty sight if you are not a supporter. The way this first Monday of the official referendum campaign has gone isn’t doing the Tories any favours and it is going to go on and on. It is an extraordinary spectacle. A Conservative Chancellor sets out projections of what BREXIT could cost and we see a huge effort from fellow Tories…
A debut guest post by TC Up to the point of announcing the date of the referendum, Cameron had been following the example set by Harold Wilson. In 1975 Wilson was faced with a split in his party and cabinet over the European EC question. To address this problem, Wilson’s response was to have a renegotiation of our terms with the EC and then have a referendum to decide whether we remained or left. The Wilson cabinet was also allowed…
But there’s a sharp increase in don’t knows Almost one of the constants of this campaign has been that the Inners are doing a fair bit better with phone polls than online and so the pattern continues tonight. The first phone poll to be carried out wholly in April, by ComRes for the Sun, has REMAIN maintaining its 7% lead – a gap which is very much in line with the other phone polls that we saw at the start…
77% chance of REMAIN winning says @MattSingh_ With his accuracy at GE2015 punters take note https://t.co/wKD7ooJRHD pic.twitter.com/BXUJA9fRBy — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 17, 2016 But here’s a reminder that betting markets aren’t infallible. This time last year, Ed Miliband was odds-on favourite to be next Prime Minister. pic.twitter.com/T9eaB53Zgq — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) April 14, 2016 @MSmithsonPB About 75% of money staked on elections happens in the last 4 weeks, even if the markets have been running for years. —…
YouGov have published some polling, conducted within the last week on which groups the voters identify the Tory Party and the Labour Party with. The findings aren’t that surprising. The Tories are perceived to be really close to the rich, businessmen/The City, and voters in the south. Whilst Labour are seen as being really close to trade unions, the working class, and benefit claimants. The most interesting finding from this polling was that the Tories are seen as being not…