Amazing. via @PickardJE transcript of Corbyn's spokesman on whether JC said LAB wouldn't lose seats in locals pic.twitter.com/AYMpeB56BS — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 4, 2016
Electoral Commission officials are meeting with police and prosecutors to ask for more time to decide whether to… https://t.co/lql0rwBWHt — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) May 4, 2016 Dave’s majority could be at risk The news that the Electoral Commission is talking to the police and CPS about Tory GE2015 election expenses in key marginal constituencies has the potential to be troubling to the party which, of course, won a majority of 12 last year. Crick and his C4 News team retuned…
A big win for Trump in Indiana overnight has caused Ted Cruz to step aside and the Republican National Committee to declare the property billionaire as the presemumptive nominee. In the Democratic race Hillary got beaten by Sanders but because of the way the party allocates delegates it is now almost impossible for him to secure enough for the nomination. Hillary though had been damaged by her failure to win in the state. Regularly updated odds: Winner 2016 White House…
The LAB man is widening his lead in London Khan extends Mayoral lead with OpiniumKhan 35%-Zac 26% -1After 2nd prefs it is Khan 57% Zac 43% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 3, 2016 Link of Opinium Mayoral poll which has Khan with 14% lead after 2nd prefshttps://t.co/NokzmTyZ3s — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 3, 2016 By far the biggest betting market on Thursday’s election is on the London Mayoralty where Zac Goldsmith is seeking to hold on to the post for…
ConservativeHome The monthly ConHome members survey of preferred next party leader is just out and sees Michael Gove once again top extending his total by five points. The former Education Secretary is the fourth person to have been there this year because it does have a tendency to chop and change. Thus in January, Theresa May was top, then it was Liam Fox, and in March Boris moved into poll position. The other big mover is Theresa May up five…
New Holyrood poll suggests that the Tories could still overhaul LAB to come 2nd https://twitter.com/davieclegg/status/727253192493436930 Ex CON general election candidate quits party over Zac’s campaign Former CON GE candidate switches to LAB in protest at Zac Goldsmith’s “repulsive” campaign https://t.co/QBNEyXrRnE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2016 And a plot to oust Corbyn Excl: Labour MPs believe they have persuaded Margaret Hodge to run as as stalking horse to oust Jeremy Corbyn; https://t.co/jLYxIueR1E — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 2,…
Even if you're at all interested in the art of betting on politics, listen to our interview with @MSmithsonPB https://t.co/JRLISl99kS — Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) May 2, 2016
A pointer to EURef polling? With the huge split between online and phone polls that we are seeing for the referendum it is perhaps worth reminding ourselves how the two modes did during the official GE2015 campaign period. The chart could not be more clear. Throughout the campaign the big picture from phone polls was that the Tories had the edge while with internet polls it was Labour. We should note that being lumped in with all the other online…