ORB poll has Remain’s lead shrinking among all voters but YouGov has Leave 7% ahead

ORB poll has Remain’s lead shrinking among all voters but YouGov has Leave 7% ahead

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ORB Phone poll All Voters Remain 49 (-3) Leave 44 (+4) Certain to vote Leave 49 (+2) Remain 48 (nc) — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 13, 2016 The headline figures with Remain ahead by 5% is the figure ORB wishes to be judged on, whilst the Telegraph prefers to focus on the certain to vote figures. However what will really concern Remain is that Sir Lynton Crosby says Leave’s tactics ‘maybe paying off’ Whilst YouGov has Leave 7% ahead Exclusive –…

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ICM polls bring fresh pain for Remain

ICM polls bring fresh pain for Remain

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Latest Betfair odds. Leave was only a 16% chance a few weeks ago. £1.8m matched in the last day. £26m matched so far pic.twitter.com/qvHmwuHQrK — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 13, 2016 The latest ICM polls for The Guardian are out. Support for leaving the EU is strengthening, with both phone and online surveys reporting a six-point lead, according to a new pair of Guardian/ICM polls. Leave now enjoys a 53%-47% advantage once “don’t knows” are excluded, according to the research conducted…

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Looks like Labour MPs have been reading their Macbeth. If it were done when ’tis done, then ’twere well It were done quickly.

Looks like Labour MPs have been reading their Macbeth. If it were done when ’tis done, then ’twere well It were done quickly.

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Following on from last week’s reports about the plans to topple Corbyn, The Telegraph are reporting Labour rebels believe they can topple Jeremy Corbyn after the EU referendum in a 24-hour blitz by jumping on a media storm of his own making. Moderate MPs who believe Mr Corbyn can never win back power think his failure to close down public rows which flare up and dominate the news channels leaves him vulnerable. By fanning the flames with front bench resignations and…

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Guest slot: The impact of leaving the EU on London’s technology start up scene

Guest slot: The impact of leaving the EU on London’s technology start up scene

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I have never been political. I’ve never joined any party, and my voting record is patchy. What I do is start technology businesses, and I’m on my third right now. Knowing rcs1000 (he’s an investor in my firm), I asked if I could write a piece for politicalbetting about the impact of leaving the EU on London’s technology start up scene. Let me start by putting London’s tech scene in context. London has the second largest concentration of technology start-ups…

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Voters who are football fans would rather see their side win the referendum than see their team win the Euros

Voters who are football fans would rather see their side win the referendum than see their team win the Euros

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Fascinating by @YouGov. Voters would rather their side win the #EUref than win the Euros https://t.co/wVWiX1B1cI pic.twitter.com/S1asb8Nm3Q — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 12, 2016 Though the Welsh are more evenly split pic.twitter.com/foxbYRgIAV — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 12, 2016 YouGov surveyed football fans across Britain and asked those who were planning on supporting England or Wales at the Euros and know how they will vote on June 23, whether they would rather see the EU referendum go their way or see their…

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With a batch of phone polls on the way LEAVE punters might be wise to defer their bets

With a batch of phone polls on the way LEAVE punters might be wise to defer their bets

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By the same token REMAIN backers should act now It’s becoming very apparent that the sequencing of polls by mode is having a a big impact on expectations about the outcome and, of course, the betting. When, like now, online surveys are coming out regularly but their are few phone ones then the prospects for OUT look better which is reflected in the betting. LEAVE us better value when phone polls predominate. We are currently in LEAVE high driven, I’d…

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Roger reviews the latest EU referendum broadcasts

Roger reviews the latest EU referendum broadcasts

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69sNgfbU9Gs Above the Latest Stronger In PPB, you can view the latest Vote Leave PPB by clicking here ‘Get your facts first then you can distort them as you please’  Mark Twain Over the last few weeks research companies running focus groups will have been dissecting psychoanalysing and picking to death the innermost thoughts of voters. When Seth Godin wrote “Facts are unimportant. What matters is what people believe.” This wasn’t meant as a lesson to advertisers on how to hoodwink…

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Tonight’s EURef online polls have it neck and neck

Tonight’s EURef online polls have it neck and neck

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Correction Latest @OpiniumResearch #EURef poll Remain 44 (+1) Leave 42 (+1) Fieldwork 7th June – 10th June https://t.co/lGhkC9rnTz — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 11, 2016 YouGov for Sunday Times:Leave 43%Remain 42% — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016 YouGov for Sunday Times:Who is "scaremongering"?41% think Remain have done more, 28% think leave have done more. — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016 YouGov/ST 55% think LEAVE exaggerated immigration claims but 49% say they're true63% think REMAIN exaggerated economy claims (40% true)…

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