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Guest slot: The impact of leaving the EU on London’s technology start up scene

13/6/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I have never been political. I’ve never joined any party, and my voting record is patchy. What I do is start technology businesses, and I’m on my third right now. Knowing rcs1000 (he’s an investor in my firm), I asked if I could write a piece for politicalbetting about the impact of leaving the EU on London’s technology start up scene. Let me start by putting London’s tech scene in context. London has the second largest concentration of technology start-ups…

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Voters who are football fans would rather see their side win the referendum than see their team win the Euros

12/6/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Fascinating by @YouGov. Voters would rather their side win the #EUref than win the Euros https://t.co/wVWiX1B1cI pic.twitter.com/S1asb8Nm3Q — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 12, 2016 Though the Welsh are more evenly split pic.twitter.com/foxbYRgIAV — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 12, 2016 YouGov surveyed football fans across Britain and asked those who were planning on supporting England or Wales at the Euros and know how they will vote on June 23, whether they would rather see the EU referendum go their way or see their…

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With a batch of phone polls on the way LEAVE punters might be wise to defer their bets

12/6/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

By the same token REMAIN backers should act now It’s becoming very apparent that the sequencing of polls by mode is having a a big impact on expectations about the outcome and, of course, the betting. When, like now, online surveys are coming out regularly but their are few phone ones then the prospects for OUT look better which is reflected in the betting. LEAVE us better value when phone polls predominate. We are currently in LEAVE high driven, I’d…

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Roger reviews the latest EU referendum broadcasts

12/6/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69sNgfbU9Gs Above the Latest Stronger In PPB, you can view the latest Vote Leave PPB by clicking here ‘Get your facts first then you can distort them as you please’ Mark Twain Over the last few weeks research companies running focus groups will have been dissecting psychoanalysing and picking to death the innermost thoughts of voters. When Seth Godin wrote “Facts are unimportant. What matters is what people believe.” This wasn’t meant as a lesson to advertisers on how to hoodwink…

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Tonight’s EURef online polls have it neck and neck

11/6/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Correction Latest @OpiniumResearch #EURef poll Remain 44 (+1) Leave 42 (+1) Fieldwork 7th June – 10th June https://t.co/lGhkC9rnTz — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 11, 2016 YouGov for Sunday Times:Leave 43%Remain 42% — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016 YouGov for Sunday Times:Who is "scaremongering"?41% think Remain have done more, 28% think leave have done more. — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016 YouGov/ST 55% think LEAVE exaggerated immigration claims but 49% say they're true63% think REMAIN exaggerated economy claims (40% true)…

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Cyclefree on What Do They Mean By That?

11/6/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images “What did he mean by that?” Metternich is reported to have said on hearing of the death of Talleyrand, Napoleon’s wily diplomat. The same question will be asked in the Chancelleries of Europe and elsewhere should Britain vote to leave the EU. But perhaps it is a more pertinent question to ask if Britain votes to remain, especially if the winning margin is narrow – as seems likely – and certainly less than the winning margin…

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Turnout: the EURef big unknown

11/6/2016 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images Just how enthused is the general public? For those inside the political bubble, whether as practitioners, supporters or lobbyists on the inside, or commentators and observers watching on, it’s easy to forget how little politics matters to an enormous number of people. One in three people didn’t vote at the last general election, more than half of Londoners and Welsh didn’t do so in May and only slightly fewer than half in Scotland and N Ireland….

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ORB online poll is an Ode to Joy for Brexiteers as Leave increases their lead to 10%

10/6/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

ORB ONLINE poll Turnout adjusted Leave 55 (+4) Remain 45 (-4) All voters Leave 53 (+3) Remain (-3) FW Wed/Thur https://t.co/ydJ08al3wi — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 10, 2016 ORB Wisdom index Remain 52 Leave 48 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 10, 2016 Senior Labour IN sources are admitting the party's haemorrhaging votes badly to the Leave side in the #EUref . See my report @BBCNews at 6. — John Pienaar (@JPonpolitics) June 10, 2016 The ORB poll has seen a real shift…

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