politicalbetting.com – Page 1058 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

Where Eagle dares after Tom Watson’s Union discussions fail

9/7/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Angela Eagle to announce bid for leadership of Labour Party on Monday https://t.co/a4pInpmsS6 — BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) July 9, 2016 The Eagle has landed? Angela Eagle 6/1 with @LadPolitics to be next Labour leader https://t.co/KcivD4hzwR — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 9, 2016 Update – Jeremy Corbyn's spokesman says the Labour leader will "contest any leadership challenge" — Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) July 9, 2016 To be honest, I suspect this is going to be a doomed challenge, and the…

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David Herdson says the Eagle has floundered

9/7/2016 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

LAB MPs have only 3 choices: win, leave or submit – and time is running out Never underestimate the ability of Labour MPs to fail to carry through a leadership coup. Ten days ago, it did look as if they had finally got their act together. Virtually the entire Shadow Cabinet resigning in sequence followed by an overwhelming vote of no confidence in the leader would normally have been enough. No government could possibly withstand those actions and Labour ought…

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From Ladbrokes and ConHome two factors that should raise a doubt amongst Theresa May backers

8/7/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

80% OF bets placed on the Tory leadership contest since the final two have been announced are for Andrea Leadsom, according to Ladbrokes. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 8, 2016 Remember the ConHome "survey" last Monday had Leadsom 1% ahead of May https://t.co/NqVlvMlbUB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 8, 2016

According to the betting markets this is a much tighter race than at the start of previous CON membership ballots

8/7/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The Tory leadership battle: A lot can happen over the next 8 weeks Until the 2001 CON leadership race the final decision was taken by MPs and there was no role for the members. So if the current battle had been held under pre-2001 rules Theresa May would now be moving into Downing Street. Under William Hague’s 1997-2001 leadership the party rules were changed so that members could be involved for the first time. Since then three leaders have been…

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For Andrea Leadsom the scrutiny has only just started

8/7/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

She’s got to be more convincing There’s such a contrast between the two women who’ll fight it out over the next eight weeks to become prime minister. May is well-known, very experienced and has started her campaign with a confidence that suggests that she’s been planning this career move for years. During the Cameron years she always maintained a detachment and was often accused of bring on maneuvers. Yet she’s never gone so far that she’s been open to the…

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And to bring us all down to earth tonight’s Local By-elections

7/7/2016 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Mostyn (Lab defence) on Conwy Result of council at last election (2012): Independents 19, Conservatives 13, Plaid Cymru 12, Labour 10, Liberal Democrats 5 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 11) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Independents 250, 235, 72, 38, 33(46%) Labour 436 (28%) Conservatives 243, 199 (20%) Liberal Democrats 131 (6%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 30,147 (46%) LEAVE 35,357 (54%) on a turnout of 72% Candidates duly nominated: Penelope Appleton (Lib Dem), Richard Enston…

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In many ways Andrea Leadsom looks like Britain’s Sarah Palin

7/7/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

"My overall approach to Putin -absolutely tell him he needs to abide by internatioal law" PM candidate Leadsom to me https://t.co/lzTQcwzgBw — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) July 7, 2016 The similarities with the former Alaska Governor are striking argues Keiran Pedley and therefore Theresa May is surely Britain’s next Prime Minister. Video has emerged this afternoon of an interview with Conservative candidate for Prime Minister Andrea Leadsom and Sky News Political Editor Faisal Islam. Although it is not as bad as…

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Recorded for posterity the biggest ever political betting market that was wrong until 5 hours after polls closed

7/7/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Extraordinary 90 day EURef betting chart on the £120m Betfair market. LEAVE wasn't favourite till 3am on Jun 24th pic.twitter.com/Fpr06yxTvB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 7, 2016 And on the final day Peak REMAIN 2210 June 23rd pic.twitter.com/A2Ot15QFyX — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 7, 2016