Leadsom quits the race. Big question now is whether May is declared winner
Leadsom quits race pic.twitter.com/KisrMlXyPg — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 11, 2016
It has to be May
And the polls and history suggest it will be When Theresa May pitches her bid for the leadership of the Conservative Party to its members, she will do so with unprecedented support from MPs. More than half voted for her in the first round – the highest total since 1965 in a contested election without an incumbent – and more than 60% backed her in the final MPs’ round: well above the comparable figures for Cameron or IDS at the…
Keiran Pedley says Corbyn should not automatically make the Labour leadership ballot
Ahead of Tuesday’s NEC judgement, Keiran Pedley argues that the Labour leadership system is broken and leaders that lose a no confidence motion in parliament should be required to seek nominations from MPs to stand again. After something of a phony war, it appears that Labour finally faces a formal challenge to Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership. A series of talks, led by deputy leader Tom Watson, aimed at achieving a negotiated settlement have come to nought. Angela Eagle has stepped forward…
It could be a case of Corbynus interruptus in the Labour leadership contest
Corbyn set to be kept off Labour leadership ballot without nominations, reports @georgeeaton https://t.co/WUe9oH4L4p pic.twitter.com/7PqENkiDR7 — The New Statesman Politics (@TheStaggers) July 10, 2016 Watson's cancelling of talks and Corbyn's "I'll sue" shtick both suggest the NEC is gonna rule he needs the nominations.#marr — Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) July 10, 2016 Clearest new mood music this morning from both Corbyn + Eagle is both seem to suspect NEC will say he needs MP nominations to get on ballot — Paul…
Betting on which year will the UK actually leave the EU
2019 looks like the year for the UK exit from the EU William Hill have a market up on when the UK will actually leave the EU. This is one of those horrible for punters markets where the bookie has probably priced it right. My reasoning is that whomever the Tories elect as leader and thus Prime Minister will not want to go into the 2020 general election whilst we were still in the EU as that would be the…
Where Eagle dares after Tom Watson’s Union discussions fail
Angela Eagle to announce bid for leadership of Labour Party on Monday https://t.co/a4pInpmsS6 — BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) July 9, 2016 The Eagle has landed? Angela Eagle 6/1 with @LadPolitics to be next Labour leader https://t.co/KcivD4hzwR — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 9, 2016 Update – Jeremy Corbyn's spokesman says the Labour leader will "contest any leadership challenge" — Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) July 9, 2016 To be honest, I suspect this is going to be a doomed challenge, and the…
David Herdson says the Eagle has floundered
LAB MPs have only 3 choices: win, leave or submit – and time is running out Never underestimate the ability of Labour MPs to fail to carry through a leadership coup. Ten days ago, it did look as if they had finally got their act together. Virtually the entire Shadow Cabinet resigning in sequence followed by an overwhelming vote of no confidence in the leader would normally have been enough. No government could possibly withstand those actions and Labour ought…
From Ladbrokes and ConHome two factors that should raise a doubt amongst Theresa May backers
80% OF bets placed on the Tory leadership contest since the final two have been announced are for Andrea Leadsom, according to Ladbrokes. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 8, 2016 Remember the ConHome "survey" last Monday had Leadsom 1% ahead of May https://t.co/NqVlvMlbUB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 8, 2016