A year after his unlikely candidature Trump looks set to finalise the nomination

A year after his unlikely candidature Trump looks set to finalise the nomination

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Next President The are similarities between Trump backers & LEAVE ones Because so much has happened in British politics over the past couple of months we have hardly looked at the White House which looks set to be bwtween Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Today,in Cleveland Ohio, the Republican campaign starts in earnest with the convention. Although there have been rumblings about a stop Trump move this appears to be very challenging given how successful he was during the primaries….

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France’s next president: Hollande is sunk but who will follow him?

France’s next president: Hollande is sunk but who will follow him?

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The battle for the Élysée will be between the centre-right and the far-right Complacency has been the bane of the established political class across the Western world these last few years; a bad habit it doesn’t seem capable of kicking. Time and again, outsiders have shaken up the order, from Tsipras in Greece to Labour electing Corbyn to Trump taking the Republican nomination to Bernie Sanders running Hillary close to the UK voting for Brexit. Parties and electorates have been…

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Corbyn and McCluskey, comrades in arms

Corbyn and McCluskey, comrades in arms

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Joff Wild on why Len McCluskey will never abandon Jeremy Corbyn One of the more striking aspects of Labour’s headlong plunge into seemingly permanent civil war and irrelevance is the role being played by the trade unions in the conflict; and, in particular, the unwavering and highly vocal support that Jeremy Corbyn has received from Unite leader Len McCluskey. Speaking at the Unite annual conference this week, for example, McCluskey described the mass resignation of shadow ministers from Labour’s front…

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How do you solve a problem like Jeremy Corbyn and his dire polling?

How do you solve a problem like Jeremy Corbyn and his dire polling?

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A new political party for Labour MPs who actually want to win a general election seems like the only option. Speaking as a Tory, every time I remember that Jeremy Corbyn is likely to be Labour leader at the next general election my reaction is similar to every time I remember that there’s a mineral called cummingtonite, it makes me laugh way too much. I suspect the reaction of Labour MPs who want to win the next general election won’t…

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Theresa May – the first national polling since she became PM

Theresa May – the first national polling since she became PM

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The first polling looks promising for TM ComRes online poll for Indy/S Mirror:More than half say that Theresa May is a strong leader (55%). Only 13% say the same for Jeremy Corbyn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 16, 2016 By 36% to 32% those sampled by ComRes say Eagle would have better chance of winning general election for LAB than Corbyn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 16, 2016 ComRes online poll  77% of those aged 65+ think that Theresa May…

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Theresa May’s lucky to have avoided the scrutiny that there’d have been with a prolonged membership ballot

Theresa May’s lucky to have avoided the scrutiny that there’d have been with a prolonged membership ballot

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The decision of Andrea Leadsom to pull out of the race last Monday is making May’s initial period a whole lot easier. Instead of the 8 weeks long slog of hustings meetings, probing interviews and TV debates the new PM has managed to avoid the searching questions on policy that would have made life considerably harder when entering Number 10. Just remember the commitment on the Tories in Brussels moving to a different grouping that Cameron made in the 2005…

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Time to take the idea of President Trump seriously

Time to take the idea of President Trump seriously

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Real Clear Politics The Donald is close to being back in the race What a busy three weeks it’s been. You could almost have forgotten that there was an election on in the most powerful country in the world. However, there is and the Republican Party convention begins on Monday. Donald Trump hasn’t had the best of build-ups, after his narrow deficit against Hillary in the national polls back in May – after he’d secured the nomination – widened out…

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Why I’m betting that it’ll be next July at the earliest before Article 50 is invoked

Why I’m betting that it’ll be next July at the earliest before Article 50 is invoked

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Theresa May: Article 50 will not be brought forward https://t.co/SeSAC0MigX pic.twitter.com/bVzngcgpww — ITV News (@itvnews) July 15, 2016 Several bookies, including Betfair, have got markets up on when, if ever, Article 50 will be invoked. This is, of course, the formal process that would see the exit of the UK from the EU. There’ve been two articles this afternoon that cause me to suggest that this will be later rather than sooner. Ian Dunt has an excellent explanation here while…

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