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Cyclefree suggests that Smith and Corbyn go back to Labour’s roots

7/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

A guest slot on the contest for the LAB leadership The current fight for the leadership of the Labour Party seems so far to be presented as a choice between who will make the better leader, with the requirements of leadership being defined either as the person most in tune with the membership or the person most able to win votes from non-members. Nothing unusual about this, you might think. There seems to be very little difference on policy, as…

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The Vladimir Putin link looks set to dog the Trump campaign right through to November

7/8/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Seriously, what is going on with Trump and Russia? https://t.co/N6ySNILYMx — Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) August 6, 2016 His lack of response make it easy for it to be portrayed in the most negative fashion Above is a new ad from the Clinton campaign seeking to raise doubts over Trump’s linkages with the Russian President Vladimir Putin. It seems to have been aimed at the Republican party establishment and I think it is very effective. The Putin element has increasingly become…

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Latest WH2016 and LAB leadership betting

6/8/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Next President 2016 LAB Leadership Contest

The Lib Dems are coming off life-support: something else for Labour to worry about

6/8/2016 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

How closely are we going to re-run the 1980s? We’ve not heard much from the Lib Dems lately. The party which until last year supplied the Deputy Prime Minister, the Business Secretary and three other cabinet ministers, which before the election had more than fifty MPs and which had been treated by the media almost on an equal footing with the Conservatives and Labour simply disappeared from view. A year on and there are signs that a tentative recovery might…

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Hillary Clinton appears to be doing much better in polls conducted with live interviews

5/8/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

“Shy Trump” supporters – possibly? Above is the national WH2016 polling for the past ten days. Clinton’s ahead in all but notice the big difference between those surveys which were conducted by live interviewers over the phone and those which used the internet or automated phone calls to get responses. The trend is clear. Hillary does much better when those sampled are talking to a real person. When that’s not how the poll was conducted we see a different picture….

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Alastair Meeks argues that any cuts or tax rises caused by BREXIT should be borne primarily by those groups that voted Leave

5/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Six weeks on a look at the aftermath and beyond Enough already. The referendum has been fought and the good guys lost. The country decided to follow the lead of those pandering to xenophobes and obsessives. So be it. What next? Clearly we are not going to get any guidance from those who led the Leave campaign. Nigel Farage has left the field, Michael Gove has been sent to the sidelines and the three Brexiteer ministers are more concerned about…

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Local By-Election Results : UKIP & LAB gain and lose a seat from each other – LD revival continues

5/8/2016 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Beaver (Lab defence) on Ashford Result: United Kingdom Independence Party 373 (42% +11%), Labour 243 (27% -4%), Conservative 240 (27% unchanged), Green Party 31 (3%, no candidate in 2015) United Kingdom Independence Party GAIN from Labour with a majority of 130 (15%) on a swing of 7.5% from Labour to UKIP East Brighton (Lab defence) on Brighton and Hove Result: Labour 1,488 (58% +11%), Conservatives 514 (20% -3%), Green Party 286 (11% -9%), United Kingdom Independence Party 152 (6%, no…

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The Smith vs Corbyn debate showed a Labour Party talking to itself and a long way from power

4/8/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Keiran Pedley gives his snap judgement on this evening’s Labour leadership debate. Assuming that you think Jeremy Corbyn’s reelection as Labour leader is not already a foregone conclusion, tonight’s leadership debate was a good opportunity to see the candidates in action. Owen Smith, perhaps unsurprisingly, was the more polished performer but Jeremy Corbyn had the room. A striking factor in this evening’s debate was the constant heckling and interruptions from the audience – mostly aimed at Owen Smith – which didn’t exactly…

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