Alastair Meeks on How Conservative Leavers could gift Labour the next election

Alastair Meeks on How Conservative Leavers could gift Labour the next election

Comments 685 Comments

Asked Boris to explain fall in £ after leave poll lead. "The pound will go where it will in the short term". Concession of short term pain — Harry Cole (@MrHarryCole) June 6, 2016 The 2015 general election result was a surprise to almost everyone.  After the event, those who had not predicted the Conservative overall majority hastened to explain why it had happened.  One of the prime underlying causes alighted upon after the event was Labour’s catastrophic reputation on…

Read More Read More

Tonight’s EURef polling gives contradictory trends, but both have Remain ahead

Tonight’s EURef polling gives contradictory trends, but both have Remain ahead

Comments 288 Comments

Exclusive: Times/YouGov EUref poll sees Leave Lead disappear – 1pt lead for "remain" pic.twitter.com/pDAmammHRS — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) June 6, 2016 New ORB EUREF phone poll Remain 48 (-3) Leave 47 (+1) — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 6, 2016 Sir Lynton Crosby's write up of the ORB poll https://t.co/GT5NuB8R4z pic.twitter.com/DVgwpnoLYo — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 6, 2016 I’m finding all of this very confusing, head says Remain are going to win this, heart says Leave is going to win. Just imagine…

Read More Read More

As voter registration for the referendum closes tomorrow some facts and figures

As voter registration for the referendum closes tomorrow some facts and figures

Comments 206 Comments

YOU CAN’T VOTE… if you’re not registered by 7 June. Get #EURefReady now: https://t.co/foV9P04QKN! pic.twitter.com/eP1VJjEdMy — Electoral Commission (@ElectoralCommUK) June 6, 2016 Via @danbarker Voter registration statistics day by day pic.twitter.com/37fPjH7r4H — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 5, 2016 The Electoral Commission say: Since the launch of the Electoral Commission’s public awareness campaign on 15 May, over 1.35 million people have applied to register to vote online across Great Britain. Applications facts and figures  • The day with the biggest number of…

Read More Read More

What are Remain doing wrong, part. II.

What are Remain doing wrong, part. II.

Comments 631 Comments

ICM online EURef poll Leave 48 (+1) Remain 43 (-1) https://t.co/Nd46cXexFt pic.twitter.com/hbu5kh2cJV — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 6, 2016 Guest slot by Mortimer A few weeks ago I asserted here that focusing on the economy was a strategy that might not be working for Remain because a doubtful public no longer trust economic forecasts, and even amongst those who do, some – especially better off pensioners – might decide that a small economic correction was a price worth paying for greater…

Read More Read More

Some MPs are set to remind the electorate that referendums are advisory and not binding on Parliament

Some MPs are set to remind the electorate that referendums are advisory and not binding on Parliament

Comments 692 Comments

Brexiteers will be delighted by Parliament exercising its Sovereign will. https://t.co/HXByQPBY7e pic.twitter.com/KqRwCtS6Mj — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 6, 2016 This makes an early election even more likely in the event of Brexit PB has learned Pro-Remain MPs are considering using their Commons majority to keep Britain inside the EU single market if there is a vote for Brexit, the BBC has learned. The MPs fear a post-Brexit government might negotiate a limited free trade deal with the EU, which they say…

Read More Read More

The latest YouGov poll is an Ode to Joy for Leave as Remain goes sub 70% on Betfair for the first time in nearly four weeks

The latest YouGov poll is an Ode to Joy for Leave as Remain goes sub 70% on Betfair for the first time in nearly four weeks

Comments 285 Comments

New YouGov EURef poll Leave 45 (+4)Remain 41 (nc)https://t.co/EkGayKVe4r — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2016 Remain goes sub 70% on Betfair for the first time in nearly 4 weeks pic.twitter.com/HASfGN4BM4 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2016 Latest TNS EU Ref poll Remain 41 (+3) Leave 43 (+2) DKs 16 (-5) Fieldwork ended a fortnight ago. FW dates: 19/5 to 23/5 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2016 Are we going to be due an EU Vow now? Our EU cousins want…

Read More Read More

Independence Day is going to be mentioned a lot in the run up to June 23rd

Independence Day is going to be mentioned a lot in the run up to June 23rd

Comments 1 Comment

Trailer for Independence Day: Resurgence which is released at the cinemas on June 23rd. Patriotism might be the last refuge of a scoundrel, but Leave would be stupid not to use it. This month has some great anniversaries if you’re British, Waterloo, The Queen’s official birthday, and of course tomorrow, the finest and most important military operation in human history, Operation Overlord*. Coupled with three out of the four home nations qualifying for football’s European Championships that start this Friday,…

Read More Read More

There’s a danger of Leave peaking too soon

There’s a danger of Leave peaking too soon

Comments 516 Comments

Is Leave really saying if we vote to Leave we'll still be in the EU in May 2020? https://t.co/W7qzh1Z8rS pic.twitter.com/58KkahagVQ — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2016 Only the churlish would deny it’s been a very good week for Leave, especially in the opinion polls, I think that’s in part because Leave have been focussing heavily on immigration, and moved away from the economy, where they are perceived to behind Remain. With another poll out tomorrow with Leave ahead, the narrative…

Read More Read More