How post BREXIT the bookmakers are looking at WH2016

How post BREXIT the bookmakers are looking at WH2016

A certainty – maybe not With three months to go until election day, people all over the world are lining up to place their bets on who’s going to take on the role of the 45th president of the United States after Barak Obama’s two-term presidency. Up until now, the odds have been everywhere – Donald Trump may have started off with odds that would make you a millionaire if he was elected, but right now, the fact that he…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Preview : August 25th 2016

Local By-Election Preview : August 25th 2016

The Lochs (Non Party Independent defence) on Fife Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 35, Scottish National Party 26, Liberal Democrats 10, Conservatives 3, Independents 3, Non Party Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 5) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,380, 349 (46%) Non Party Independent 1,025 (28%) Scottish National Party 708 (19%) Independents 165 (4%) Conservatives 99 (3%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 106,754 (59%) LEAVE 75,466 (41%) on a…

Read More Read More

The latest Farage farrago, Douglas Carswell is accused of helping the Tories defeat Farage in Thanet South

The latest Farage farrago, Douglas Carswell is accused of helping the Tories defeat Farage in Thanet South

A story that has been overshadowed by #Railgate but is vastly more important & entertaining. https://t.co/TfJGd7ko9O pic.twitter.com/dhEmxOFked — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 25, 2016 Can or will Douglas Carswell remain a UKIP MP if senior Kippers are making these allegations? Forget traingate this is the political story of the week, although I can sympathise with those who say a UKIP internal squabbling story is up there with a dog bites man story, but this story has achieved that rare feat, leaving…

Read More Read More

I’m not sure a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party is equipped to endure the white heat of a six week general election campaign

I’m not sure a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party is equipped to endure the white heat of a six week general election campaign

Labour leader @JeremyCorbyn reluctantly answers a question from @DMcCaffreySKY on #TrainGate https://t.co/nLPGEP48Xs — Sky News (@SkyNews) August 24, 2016 Under Jeremy Corbyn Labour are ceasing to be a serious political party and in danger of turning into a The Thick Of It tribute Perhaps I’m being unduly harsh on Jeremy Corbyn, but the clip above of his press conference yesterday was a mixture of the downright embarrassing and painful to watch, all because of Traingate. All politicians make gaffes, or…

Read More Read More

The PB/Polling Matters podcast on the future for LAB & probes whether a Corbyn victory is inevitable

The PB/Polling Matters podcast on the future for LAB & probes whether a Corbyn victory is inevitable

On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast we continue the new format of the show where each guest picks a polling or elections topic to talk about and the group discuss it. On this week’s show Keiran Pedley is joined by former BBC journalist and Labour press officer Don Brind who regularly contributes to the PB site and is currently working with Saving Labour on Owen Smith’s leadership campaign. Also joining Keiran is Harry Carr who is a political analyst at…

Read More Read More

Betting on a united Ireland referendum happening by the end of 2020

Betting on a united Ireland referendum happening by the end of 2020

Prior to June 23rd, there was a strong push from Remain that a Leave victory could lead to a united Ireland, Paddy Power have a market up on whether there will be a referendum on such a matter by the end of 2020. A 2011 poll found ‘more than half of Catholics in Northern Ireland want the long-term future of the North to be as part of the United Kingdom, while only 16 per cent of the overall population favour a united…

Read More Read More

Big message from #Traingate: Virgin/Branson don’t think Corbyn’s got a remote chance of ever making it to Number 10

Big message from #Traingate: Virgin/Branson don’t think Corbyn’s got a remote chance of ever making it to Number 10

Virgin wouldn’t have been so emboldened if they’d thought JC was ever going to be PM Ed Miliband fmr advisor Matt Lazo: "If Virgin thought Labour was going to win & took Labour seriously, they wouldn't have released this" — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) August 23, 2016 TIMES: Rail company accuses Corbyn of dishonesty #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/LmeaY2e175 — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) August 23, 2016 Huge coverage overnight of the Mr. Corbyn’s little affair on the train to Newcastle and I thought…

Read More Read More

Whatever the rights and wrongs of “#Traingate” Corbyn needs a better PR organisation

Whatever the rights and wrongs of “#Traingate” Corbyn needs a better PR organisation

The afternoon has been dominated by what’s now become #Traingate – how the film of Corbyn having to sit on the floor of a Newcastle-bound Virgin train two weeks ago might not have been all it seemed. I don’t want to go into the rights and wrongs here because I just don’t know. As a very regular traveller on that line I have a lot of sympathy for the Labour leader. Services can get packed and finding seats can be…

Read More Read More