William Hill UKIP seats after next General ElectionNONE 10/11ONE 13/82+ 7/2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 28, 2016 William Hill believe offering odds of 4/11(73% chance) that new UKIP leader Nuttall will still be in post in 2018 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 28, 2016
BREXIT means no UKIP MEPs from 2019 Today marks another new chapter in UKIP’s short history with the election by a substantial majority of members of Paul Nuttall as party leader. He’s from the North West and has a very different back story than the public-school former city trader, Nigel Farage, that he replaces. Nuttall said his first objective was to take the battle to Labour which under Corbyn has looked weaker and extremely vulnerable particularly in its heartlands. If…
Don Brind looks at the challenges Diane Abbott, the Shadow Home Secretary is always worth listening to these days, not necessarily because of the quality of her analysis, but because she tells us what her leader thinks. So when she warns against a move to the right on immigration so that Labour becomes “Ukip-lite” she is undoubtedly reflecting the view of Jeremy Corbyn. In her interview with Guardian political editors Anushka Asthana and Heather Stewart the Shadow Home secretary undoubtedly reflects…
Francois Fillon is a 69% chance
A bird’s-eye view, from over the pond by Julian Glassford The political earthquake that the Republican Party’s president-elect has sparked is bigger than the United States of America, and bigger, even, than the ego of “braggadocios” Donald Trump. With tremors still being felt right around the globe, the shock outcome has taken virtually everyone by surprise and left not just the Democratic Party but also donkeys in the media looking rather jolted, dazed, and confused. Meanwhile, the call goes out for…
Final weekend LD leaflet seeking to make the by-election about BREXIT We are being given numbers for a reason not as a poll alternative With just four days left to the Richmond Park by-election it looks as though there won’t be a final published poll and to fill this void the Green Party backed Lib Dem campaign has made some numbers available to the Observer. These are: Zac 46.7% LDs 43.3% LAB 9.5% This is not a poll but what…
Their stupid voting system could let in an unpopular extremist Just as one never-ending presidential election ends, another begins. France goes to the polls again tomorrow to pick the centre-right candidate of Les Républicains; their choice being between former prime minister Alain Juppé and former prime minister François Fillon. Fillon is the extremely strong favourite (1/16 with Ladbrokes, to Juppé’s 8/1); a remarkable turnaround given that the polls in the week of the first round of the primary indicated a…