What does this all mean for the Republican race? Lots of interesting polls coming out of the US at the moment on the 2008 White House race. For the latest check here. The above one, which came out a few days ago, is perhaps the most interesting in that it looks at negatives in a theoretical sense. For the Democrats the lack of negatives for a black or a female nominees looks encouraging. It’s the Republicans who have the biggest…
Is 4/1 Giuliani now the hot Republican bet? One factor in the UK betting on the 2008 White House race that should be taken into account is that thanks to the tough approach by the US authorities to on-line gambling there is far less money from America being wagered here compared with the 2004 election. With the executives of UK-based bookmakers at risk of arrest while travelling in the US there has been a massive clampdown by the firms to…
Is it now just between her and Obama? Just five days after the black senator from Illinois, Barack Obama, announced that he was taking the first formal steps to run for the presidency in 2006 Hillary Rodham Clinton has this afternoon made the same move. This is how the Betfair betting exchange prices look for the Democratic nomination: The big question for punters is whether any of the other candidates has a chance against the two high profile front runners?…
Is Q3 2007 heading for the favourite slot? With every statement by Tony Blair being scrutinised closely for hints of his precise departure date the sentiment on the betting markets, as the chart shows, is moving from a Q2 exit to a departure in Q3 – between July and and September. The latest snippet came at his monthly Downing Street press conference when he was asked if he would still be in charge at a crunch EU summit on June…
How serious a contender is the young African-American? After a quiet five weeks following the mid-term elections US politics has suddenly exploded again with the visit this week by the black contender, Barack Obama, to New Hampshire – the state where traditionally the first primary election of US presidential campaigns takes place. Suddenly everybody is talking up the prospects of the 45 year old Democrat Senator from Illinois and the UK media has now begun to pay attention. Last night…
New polls dash hopes for the White House losers of 2000 and 2004 In the first round of ’08 White House polls since the US midterms there’s good news for Rudy Giuliani, John McCain ,Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama but bad news for the vote winner but electoral college loser of 2000, Al Gore, and the man who went to bed on November 4th 2004 believing the exit polls meant he was next President, John Kerry. With tight races for…
The money is going on the independents being classified as Dems As the argument goes on over how Betfair will settle the “Senate most seats market” we now have the extraordinary spectacle of much more money being gambled on this issue than the election itself. Overnight a further £100,000 was traded in this market taking the total to nearly £240,000. Amazingly in all the months leading up to Tuesday election less than £50,000 had been bet. With the Democrat victory…
Will his party hold both the House and Senate, one or neither? With reports starting to come in from across the US it’s clear we are in for an exciting night. And, in the fashion of US elections, there are the reports of problems with electronic voting machines in several state. This has almost become a tradition. According to ABC News ” Programming errors and inexperience dealing with electronic voting machines frustrated poll workers in hundreds of precincts Tuesday, delaying…