This from the UKIP candidate https://twitter.com/JohnBickleyUKIP/status/667486529389010944 And a bit of history Since 1999 more people elected as UKIP MEPs have been jailed for expenses fraud than the number of MPs the party has at Westminster — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2015
John Bickley UKIP – 2nd favourite to win Oldham by-election https://t.co/9vjHVDFG2y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 With the EU dominating the headlines the time should be ripe for the Purples Because it is the first by-election of the current parliament and because of its proximity to Heywood & Middleton where UKIP came very close just over a year ago expectations are running very high for UKIP in Oldham. The candidate is the same and, like Heywood, Oldham West…
UKIP set to choose John Bickley for Oldham & R by election. He came within whisker in Oct 2014 Heywood by-election pic.twitter.com/h99YY4SzvR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 3, 2015 Can he repeat his Heywood & Middleton magic? One of the huge shocks, and what in retrospect turned out to be a good pointer to GE2015, was the way that UKIP ran LAB so close in the October 2014 by-election Heywood & Middleton which is very close to Oldham. This, like…
Farage up from -5% to +8% in latest Ipsos satisfaction ratings. pic.twitter.com/ZngyB8DhRt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2015 Chart with voting figures in latest Ipsos poll pic.twitter.com/MEqe2qbwTp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2015 42% say Corbyn and 39% say Cameron should not lead their parties at the general election – Ipsos polling pic.twitter.com/OG9wF1UMQv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2015
How US Republican voters who didn't go to college are driving the Trump surge. Table via @montie pic.twitter.com/E3gxnYaP4a — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2015 The above table highlights a big trend in the Republican primaries which has strong echoes in the UK. The quite different voting patterns of those who went to university and those who didn’t. In the US at the moment this is highlighted by the make up of those supporting Donald Trump for the GOP nomination….
Antifrank on the potential for a big divide David Cameron is a popular leader of the Conservative party. He has consistently outpolled it, tugging it along in his wake. His brisk, warm, unideological Conservativism (which is closer to the Christian Democracy found on the continent than to the Thatcherism that has prevailed in the Conservative party for the last 30 years in Britain) appeals to many. Many, but not all. His leftwing opponents outside his party are predictable. Less predictably,…
"millionaire causing increasing concern among Eurosceptics who fear his bizarre behaviour will hurt" EUsceptic cause https://t.co/jlNsYWNf82 — Douglas Carswell MP (@DouglasCarswell) September 26, 2015 For a party with only one MP such regular ructions is a real achievement The above is a tweet from Douglas Carswell quoting an article about the UKIP donor Arron Banks, the rest of Douglas Carswell’s twitter feed over the past few days has been similarly entertaining about his disagreements and issues with Banks and his…
House of Commons Library blog – Steven Ayres In 5/6ths its 120 GE15 2nd places it faces majorities of 10%+ In the aftermath of May 7th UKIP was taking some comfort from the 120 second places it had chalked up suggesting that this provided a good platform for next time. Maybe. Steven Ayres on the House of Commons Library blog has produced an interesting analysis of Farage’s party’s performance and the potential to build on its record GE15. His chart…