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Category: UKIP

New study points to UKIP’s support base being more middle class than was perceived

New study points to UKIP’s support base being more middle class than was perceived

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British Electoral Study data sheds different light on the party An analysis of data from the UK’s longest-running study of electoral behaviour has revealed how the bulk of UKIP’s support surprisingly comes from professional and managerial middle classes. British Election Study Co-Director Professor Geoffrey Evans and BES Research Fellow Dr Jonathan Mellon, from Nuffield College Oxford, say contrary to the popular view advocated by some academic researchers, working class voters are only a little more likely to support Ukip. And…

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Marf’s Tuesday afternoon’s take and LAB move from a 2% deficit to a 2% lead with TNS

Marf’s Tuesday afternoon’s take and LAB move from a 2% deficit to a 2% lead with TNS

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LAB retakes the lead with TNS LAB 34% (+2), CON 32% (-2), LD 8% (-1), UKIP 15% (+1), GREEN 5% (0), OTHER 6% (+1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2015 And UKIP appear to be edging back ICM, TNS, Populus, Opinium, Survation, and Ipsos-MORI all have UKIP with increased shares. The others have no change. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2015

For the second weekend in a row UKIP are accused of burying a poll that shows them losing a seat they are expected to win

For the second weekend in a row UKIP are accused of burying a poll that shows them losing a seat they are expected to win

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Mark Reckless on course to lose his seat accordingly to a private poll. http://t.co/FjxsfMBpbj pic.twitter.com/84OU8SbPL4 — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 12, 2015 Will Reckless’ decision to defect turn out to be a reckless one? This polling doesn’t come as a surprise, prior to the by-election last year, Lord Ashcroft’s polling found Reckless winning the by-election but losing at the general election. It does fit in with the wider political narrative, such as last night’s Opinium, UKIP hitting a low that they…

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Private UKIP poll has Farage behind in South Thanet

Private UKIP poll has Farage behind in South Thanet

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The Thanet ComRes poll Farage censored via @suttonnick http://t.co/J2ax7nThki pic.twitter.com/bGXW0g0Z9N — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 4, 2015 Last night The Mail on Sunday reported Nigel Farage faced claims of a ‘cover-up’ last night for censoring a poll that suggests he is on course for a humiliating personal defeat in the General Election. The secret Ukip-commissioned poll, leaked to The Mail on Sunday, shows that Farage has fallen behind his Tory opponent in the Kent seat he is contesting. And he is…

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The other story from the latest Ashcroft marginals’ polling – the sharp decline of UKIP

The other story from the latest Ashcroft marginals’ polling – the sharp decline of UKIP

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Like the GE10 LDs UKIP will be squeezed in the big party fights Apart from the problems facing Nick Clegg and the latest on the CON-LD battles a striking feature of the latest wave of Ashcroft seat polling was the decline of UKIP. These are all constituency fights where, with perhaps one possible exception, UKIP was not a contender and what happens – in every single case the purples see a sharpish reduction in their share. The biggest slippage of…

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Nigel Farage’s offer to support a minority Conservative Government is a 2015 referendum

Nigel Farage’s offer to support a minority Conservative Government is a 2015 referendum

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As part of Nigel Farage’s book being serialised in the Telegraph, The UK Independence Party leader says that he is willing to make a deal with the Tories on the condition that they hold an EU referendum before Christmas. The detailed plans for a hung parliament set out that Ukip and Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party would work together to support the Conservatives on a vote by vote basis. Ukip – forecast to gain up to six seats in the…

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Marf on Farage’s comments about race relations legislation

Marf on Farage’s comments about race relations legislation

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A good move for UKIP or a bad one? The big news this morning that Nigel Farage would axe many of the race laws is leading the bulletins and takes UKIP into an interesting political area. Is this the dog whistle that will bring voters back to the party or will it galvanise those opposed to his party? It is hard to say but it could have an explosive impact on the campaign. Mike Smithson For 11 years viewing politics…

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It looking as though Al Murray is starting to get under Nigel Farage’s skin

It looking as though Al Murray is starting to get under Nigel Farage’s skin

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Spectator And that’s what the Pub Landlord really wants One of the side-shows of May 7th is the Pub Landlord’s campaign in South Thanet, where Farage is seeking to win. It’s a tough three way marginal but the latest from Survation had him with a comfortable lead. All of this makes his reaction to the Election Commission’s ruling on Al Murray and his FUKP party quite surprising and over the top. What Farage need to do is go along with…

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