UK Elections – others – Page 52

Are London Mayor backers being misled by the law?

15/4/2004 Editor

Are punters in the London mayor market being lulled into a false sense of security because the laws on election expenses are preventing Steve Norris and Simon Hughes from actively campaigning at the moment? The “taxi meter” on expenses starts the moment that they declare their candidatures and this triggers a whole series of financial regulations to ensure that every item of expenditure – from paper clips to printing – is itemised and kept within tight maximum spending limits. The…

Dare you bet against the opinion polls?

7/4/2004 Editor

One of the most dangerous, risky but potentially most profitable political gambles is to bet against the opinion polls. I’ve done that twice this year – first by laying Howard Dean for the Democratic Nomination and second by betting against Ken Livingston being re-elected as Mayor of London. The Howard Dean call, made publicly on the Betfair Forum, was when Dean was 20% ahead and I got an average price of 1.7. At that stage I felt I could dismiss…

Is Ken a Certainty?

23/3/2004 Editor

Those supporting the “Ken is a certainty” position are looking at this as though it was a General Election where image and how things appear in the media are the critical factors. I’m looking at it as a local election where there’s a totally different dynamic. One almost unknown aspect the UK election process is that after each election the authorities are required to make available a copy of the electoral register showing those people who actually voted. The party…

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