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Category: Donald Trump

Interesting news for those of us betting on the year of Trump’s exit date

Interesting news for those of us betting on the year of Trump’s exit date

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CNN obtained a tape of Trump at a closed-door fundraiser. He said this about China's president: "He's now president for life. President for life. And he's great. And look, he was able to do that. I think it's great. Maybe we'll give that a shot some day." https://t.co/FzLjVtlhl1 — Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) March 4, 2018 My expectation for a while has been health or assassins permitting Donald Trump’s tenure as President will end on January 20th 2025, and have been…

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On the biggest current political betting market Trump now given a 64% chance of survival

On the biggest current political betting market Trump now given a 64% chance of survival

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Trump amazing powers to distract are stopping bad news taking hold With all the focus on Brexit and Theresa May’s survival in the UK it is sometimes easy to forget that from a political betting point of view the big markets are in the US and particularly on whether Donald Trump survives his first term. We’ve not looked at this for some time but as the chart above shows the price, on Betfair, have moved quite sharply in his favour…

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Punters have more confidence that Trump will survive but are less convinced that he’ll be re-elected

Punters have more confidence that Trump will survive but are less convinced that he’ll be re-elected

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Trump’s first year in the White House in two betting charts And the November 2018 midterms Thanks yet again to Betdata.Io for their excellent historical and current political betting charts based on actual trades on the Betfair exchange. In money terms all the top politics markets at the moment are US related and my guess is that the following two on the midterms in November, will be the biggest ones of 2018. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Donald Trump’s horizontal jogging with a porn star might see Melania Trump jog on from their marriage

Donald Trump’s horizontal jogging with a porn star might see Melania Trump jog on from their marriage

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Following the recent revelations about Donald Trump paying hush money to the porn star Stormy Daniels to keep quiet about their reputed affair, the marriage of Donald and Melania Trump has come under scrutiny. If you have no ethical or moral qualms about betting on the divorce of a couple then you might be interested in the above betting markets from Paddy Power. The bet on Trump remarrying by the 8th of November this year seems very unappealing, I’m not…

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Trump ends his first year in the White House with punters giving him a 60% chance staying till 2020 or later

Trump ends his first year in the White House with punters giving him a 60% chance staying till 2020 or later

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With the exception of the period of the UK General Election the biggest political betting markets of the past year have been on Donald Trump. Is he going to survive a full first term? Will he win again in 2020? What will be the year of his actual departure from the White House? These are obviously going to be linked to how the news media are treating him but even the controversial Michael Wolff book did not take his survival…

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Never forget that the vast majority of those who voted for Trump are happy with their President

Never forget that the vast majority of those who voted for Trump are happy with their President

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A recent YouGov/The Economist survey found almost 90% of Trump voters think the President is doing a good overall job #BBCPanorama pic.twitter.com/W0USzmEeWN — BBC Panorama (@BBCPanorama) January 15, 2018 And the betting continues to point to his survival UK punters on Betfair continue to bet on Trump’s survival pic.twitter.com/cnHgavmDqY — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 15, 2018 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

UKIP voters are the only ones who think Donald Trump is more intelligent than average

UKIP voters are the only ones who think Donald Trump is more intelligent than average

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I doubt if the occupant of the White House reads the Observer or actually look at polling that is anything other than flattering him. But if he did he is his current apparent anger with the UK would have been reinforced. One of the questions was whether British voters thought that Mr Trump was above or below average intelligence. The findings by party splits are in the chart above. As can be seen overall there was an extraordinary low view…

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