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Category: Donald Trump

The betting markets still think Trump will get re-elected but the gap is closing

The betting markets still think Trump will get re-elected but the gap is closing

How dangerous is the corona virus to Trump? The big development in what is by far the biggest betting market of all, who’ll win WH2020 has not been the emergence of Biden as the clear Dem contender but the growing doubts about how the White House is handling it. His recent boasts have not helped perceptions. This from the Washington Post. “I like this stuff. I really get it,” Trump boasted to reporters during a tour of the Centers for…

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The multi-billionaire who has ignored the first primary states now second place in the betting

The multi-billionaire who has ignored the first primary states now second place in the betting

More and more money goes on 77 year old Bloomberg On the eve of the first full primary, New Hampshire, the person who’ll become the stop Bernie contender has yet to emerge which is one reason why Sanders looks set to follow his tie in Iowa with a victory in New Hampshire. Bloomberg, one of the richest people in the world, is determined to do what he can to stop Trump and is spending hundreds of millions of dollars on…

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Public standards mean nothing if the public won’t own them

Public standards mean nothing if the public won’t own them

Trump’s failed impeachment is a reflection of the nation’s civil standards Why is Mike Pence not now the President of the United States? The immediate answer is, of course, that there weren’t 67 members of the Senate willing to vote to convict him of the charges brought by the House. But to get to the deeper answers we have to ask: why not? It was not for lack of evidence – though of course the Republican senators went out of…

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Trump’s impeachment has almost no impact on the WH2020 betting – he’s still an evens chance to win

Trump’s impeachment has almost no impact on the WH2020 betting – he’s still an evens chance to win

And it might not even get to the Senate The betdata/io chart shows the latest WH2020 betting and as can be seen Trump remains the evens favourite to secure re-election in November next year. The overnight apparently dramatic news that this is only the third time in US history that the House of Representatives has voted in this way was widely anticipated and, of course, only the Senate can remove him from office. The upper house would require a two…

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Mitch McConnell’s failure to back Trump on Syria should be worrying for the White House

Mitch McConnell’s failure to back Trump on Syria should be worrying for the White House

The total focus on Brexit over the past few days has taken the attention away from United States politics where the ongoing saga in relation to Donald Trump is becoming even more perilous for the 73 year old. There’ve been two big developments over the weekend and I suggest that something might possibly be happening that might not be good for the incumbent. Firstly there is the Washington Post article by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, above, in which he…

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Trump’s unhinged behaviour won’t invoke the 25th

Trump’s unhinged behaviour won’t invoke the 25th

His mental health is too difficult to assess and there are other, better routes When Donald Trump was merely the cartoon boss on the Apprentice, he hammed up his performance with the very successful catchphrase “You’re fired” – although it turned out he really was playing himself all along. Trump’s administration has been a revolving door of appointments amid laudatory comments, followed by resignations and sackings and associated Trumpian bad-mouthing of his former colleagues. In around three years, Trump has…

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The impeachment polling’s getting worse for Trump

The impeachment polling’s getting worse for Trump

Half of Americans now want him out There’s been another series of anguished Tweets from the incumbent of the White House following the latest impeachment polling commissioned by the channel that used to be his greatest supporter – Fox News. This latest survey is in line with other recent polls and there’s little doubt that voters are turning against him. Meanwhile another great supporter from the past, Matt Drudge of the Drudge Report which acts as a hard right news…

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How strong is Trump’s Senate firewall?

How strong is Trump’s Senate firewall?

A guest slot from Fishing Almost three years ago, a few days after Trump was elected, I wrote a thread on this site saying that the Democrats would be able to find an excuse to impeach Trump if they gained control of the House in 2018 for that reason, 2019 would be the peak year of danger for Trump in this respect but I expected that the Senate would acquit, because of its likely Republican majority following the Midterms. Given…

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