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Category: Donald Trump

The latest powerful ad from the Republican organisation that is trying to stop Trump

The latest powerful ad from the Republican organisation that is trying to stop Trump

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One of the really interesting features of the White House election that takes place four months from today is the series of ads from the Lincoln Project – a Republican body that is seeking to do everything it can to undermine the Republican incumbent, Donald Trump. As well as the cost of paid for ads being screened in key states they are getting a huge free distribution via YouTube where so far today this latest one has had nearly 0.75m…

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Trump drops even further in the WH2020 betting following his less than successful Tulsa rally

Trump drops even further in the WH2020 betting following his less than successful Tulsa rally

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This last weekend was going to be the moment when Trump would seriously bounce back in his re-election effort with a mass rally in Tulsa Oklahoma. Unfortunately for him and his team the event proved to be something of a disaster with just over 6k in the 19k seat venue. A second location nearby to deal with the overflow was abandoned when it became clear the numbers weren’t there. This was in spite of all the boasts and predictions Trump…

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Trump: Pardon Me

Trump: Pardon Me

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4/1 is value that he’ll pardon himself this term Decorum has never featured highly among Donald Trump’s characteristics. If you view life rather like a computer game where the High Scores are measured in dollars and ratings, and any casulaties along the way can be dismissed as casually as a pixellated image, norms of behaviour are of little consequence. And decorum is certainly not what to expect should Trump lose in November. And he should lose. RCP give Joe Biden…

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Facebook takes down Trump ads for violating policy against organised hate

Facebook takes down Trump ads for violating policy against organised hate

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In a move that seems unprecedented Facebook has taken down Trump ads infringing the sites policies against organized hate. This looks like a big pointer to how it will operate at WH2020 where the giant social media site was expected to play a huge role. The ads involved are said to have attacked what the Trump campaign described as “Dangerous MOBS of far-left groups,” featured an upside-down triangle. It is said the triangle “is practically identical to that used by…

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The latest ads from a campaign to turn Republicans against Trump

The latest ads from a campaign to turn Republicans against Trump

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This one is particularly important because Senator Lindsay Graham has emerged as the main attack dog for Trump. It very much undermines what he is trying to do now as part of helping the President get re-elected. This is potentially a powerful line of attack on Trump raising questions over the President’s health and ,mental capacity.

Trumpity Trump: Why Betting on Biden is the right strategy

Trumpity Trump: Why Betting on Biden is the right strategy

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The more I think about the US election, the more I think we’re underweighting the edge scenarios. And of the edge scenarios, I think the one we’re underweighting most is the one where the Democrats have a really good night. Why? Well, let’s start with the obvious. President Trump won by the narrowest of margins in 2016. To demonstrate this, let’s play “spin the wheel”. What we’re going to do is run a little simulation with every state in 2016….

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Joe Biden says Trump will have to be “escorted from the White House” if he’s not re-elected

Joe Biden says Trump will have to be “escorted from the White House” if he’s not re-elected

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One of the increasing worries about November’s US Presidential election is that Trump might not willingly leave the White House if he fails to get re-elected. The Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee, Joe Biden, is already starting to talk publicly about this concern which has been raised by many others – see the interview with Trevor Noah linked to above. The timing is interesting. The election takes place on November 2nd but the winner will have to wait until the inauguration…

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