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Category: Donald Trump

WH2020: We need a market on who will President on January 21st – the day after inauguration

WH2020: We need a market on who will President on January 21st – the day after inauguration

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Could Trump get away with sitting tight and refusing to budge? Following his Tweet yesterday suggesting that the Presidential election on November 3rd should be postponed there has been a huge amount of speculation about what Trump will do if if he doesn’t win re-election which based on current polling looks very unlikely. This is from Susan Glasser in the New Yorker: So, sorry, we cannot just ignore it when the President threatens to cancel an election. This is the…

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Senior Republicans not enthused by Trump’s postpone the election move

Senior Republicans not enthused by Trump’s postpone the election move

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The only way that Trump’s controversial postpone the election move could become a reality would be if senior Republicans were ready to go along with it. So far that backing seems to be absent. Under the heading “Trump floats a ‘delay’ in the election. None of his usual allies are on board” the New York Times reports that top Republicans quickly rejected the move. Never in the history of the federal elections have we not held an election, and we…

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His Highness, King Donald the First, the Great Usurping Caesar, violator of the constitution is now talking about delaying the election

His Highness, King Donald the First, the Great Usurping Caesar, violator of the constitution is now talking about delaying the election

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Donald Trump’s tweet is quite interesting for those of us betting on this year’s Presidential election. Quite frankly it would require an act of Congress to change the date of this November’s election from the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. It would require all 50 states to go along with this, which I cannot see happening. If there’s no election Trump’s mandate expires next January and Nancy Pelosi would take over. I suspect this might be more…

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The Betfair WH2020 next President Market is about to reach £50 million of bets matched and there are still more than three months till polling day

The Betfair WH2020 next President Market is about to reach £50 million of bets matched and there are still more than three months till polling day

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What having a controversial figure in the White House does to the betting Above is a screenshot of the Betfair market on who will be next president. We’ve talked about the odds on this for well over a year but what is striking this afternoon is how close the total matched is to £50m. That we should get to that sort of total with more than 3 months to go until November 2nd is quite extraordinary and this will almost…

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As Covid soars to new US peak YouGov polling suggests that Trump is being hurt most amongst those who feel worst affected

As Covid soars to new US peak YouGov polling suggests that Trump is being hurt most amongst those who feel worst affected

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New CBS polling in three big sunbelt states that now look to be highly competitive has found that the more voters are concerned about the virus the more they are likely to support Biden. The three states, Arizona, Florida and Texas have been amongst the worst hit in the resurgence of the pandemic and this is reflected in the polling. In the states Biden is now leading Trump by 6% in Florida, and with highly competitive races in Arizona and in…

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The Lincoln Project’s response to Trump’s pardon of convicted felon Roger Stone

The Lincoln Project’s response to Trump’s pardon of convicted felon Roger Stone

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There’s little doubt that Trump’s pardon of advisor, Roger Stone, only days before he was due to start a prison sentence is a huge moment in this election campaign. He’s not the first President to issue controversial pardons and many remember the final days of Bill Clinton’s terms. But this one really stands out and looks set to play a big part in the coming weeks in the efforts of those who want to stop him being re-elected. The Lincoln…

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WH2020 A powerful new ad from Republicans against Trump

WH2020 A powerful new ad from Republicans against Trump

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One of the most intriguing aspects about the White House Race has been the powerful advertisements being produced and funded by Republicans who are opposed to Donald Trump. What makes the above so effective is that the soundtrack consists of things said on the record by ex-President Ronald Reagan who was, of course, a Republican We have featured here before promotions from the Lincoln Project and this latest ad above is not from them but from an organisation simply called…

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Biden (77yo) just beating Trump (74yo) as having the mental and physical stamina to be President

Biden (77yo) just beating Trump (74yo) as having the mental and physical stamina to be President

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This polling question is really one of the biggest of the campaign given how old both the presumptive nominees are. What we see in the poll finding here is that Biden just edges it over Trump but not by very much. There have been instances over the past few months when both men have appeared past it and it will be critical for both their chances that there should be no repetition which is widely picked up by the media….

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