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Category: Tories

How PB.C caused a top columnist to switch to Cameron

How PB.C caused a top columnist to switch to Cameron

Is the site influencing the events it covers? The cover story of this week’s Spectator is unashamedly based on the story and discussion here on June 9th when we looked at the impact of David Cameron’s Etonian background on the Tory leadership race. Good on the magazine for giving Politicalbetting full credit unlike many other parts of the media who pick up our stories. In the article Vicki Woods describes how she has moved from her original pro-Davis position and…

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Is Davis’s privilege rhetoric taking him onto dangerous ground?

Is Davis’s privilege rhetoric taking him onto dangerous ground?

Cameron’s price tightens as the Davis price eases Just as contenders for the 2012 Olympic city should avoid references to the gastronomy of the other cities then it might be wise for Tory leadership hopefuls to keep off the subject of the background of their opponents? Is it sensible for the runaway favourite, David David, to make references in a manner that can be seen as an attack on the old-Etonian, David Cameron, as he continues to position himself as…

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Is this the man for the Tory party?

Is this the man for the Tory party?

The sentiment moves to Cameron After favourable press comment at the weekend and his emergence as the clear challenger to David Davis the money has been piling on David Cameron to be the next Tory leader. Since Friday the best bookmaker price on the young Etonian has tightened from 7/1 to 5/1 and the signs are that this will move further. In a flattering piece in the Sunday Times under the heading At last, a fanciable Tory Indira Knight writes…

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The Tories: It looks like the battle of the Davids

The Tories: It looks like the battle of the Davids

Davis-red, Cameron-blue, Rifkind-green, Clarke-black, Fox-pink Has Cameron established himself as the clear challenger? If the betting markets have got this right it looks as though the battle for the Tory leadership is now down to a straight fight between David David and David Cameron. The Shadow Education Secretary has made some progress in the best betting prices following calls by his supporters for the other candidates to throw the towel in and support their man. Even so the young Etonian…

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Punters pile onto David Davis

Punters pile onto David Davis

Best bookie price now 1/2 The chart shows how the best betting price on David Davis for the Tory leadership is continuing to tighten as punters see no alternative to him getting the top job. The best bookie price is 1/2 although you can still get 0.7/1 with Betfair. This compares with the 5/2 that was available on May 6th – the day that Michael Howard said that he would be standing down by the end of the year. A…

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The fight to become the main challenger to David Davis

The fight to become the main challenger to David Davis

Cameron RED: Clarke YELLOW: Fox GREEN: Lansley PINK: Rifkind BLACK How the betting has changed on the main contenders The above chart shows the changing best betting prices available on the main challengers to David Davis in the Tory leadership race. The start date is May 6th – the day after the General Election when Michael Howard surprised everybody by announcing that he would be stepping down. Since then there has been the wrangle on how his successor should be…

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Will the new rules impede the Davis bandwagon?

Will the new rules impede the Davis bandwagon?

The David Davis price tightens to 4/5 Any idea that the new Tory leadership election rules could impact on the Shadow Home Secretary’s so far undeclared canditure for the Tories leadership have been rejected by gamblers who have pushed his price down even further. The latest odds put Davis in the range of 4/6 to 4/5 and the signs are that this will get tighter. The fact that Tory MPs will get the final say, unilike with IDS last time,…

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Did UKIP benefit from the pollsters’ Labour overstating?

Did UKIP benefit from the pollsters’ Labour overstating?

What was behind the party’s late recovery? It’s worth looking back at the dynamic of what happened on May 5th so that we are better able to call future elections and one element that has not really been discussed was the recovery of UKIP within the final week or so. For just seven weeks before election day the pollster that was to prove to be the most accurate, NOP, produced a survey showing that just one single person in a…

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