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Category: Theresa May

Why Tory MPs must stop the Tory DUP deal from happening

Why Tory MPs must stop the Tory DUP deal from happening

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https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/873572388293808129 By allying herself with a party that has an MP that called homosexuals ‘poofs’ and ‘perverts’ Theresa May is once again putting herself ahead of the party and country, the Tory party has to stop her committing yet another huge mistake. Though the DUP denied it, last night it was reported that the Tories and DUP had struck a supply and confidence deal, a poll from Survation, the most accurate pollster in terms of voting intention shares for the general election,…

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Ideas, events and people. What the Conservatives need to do next

Ideas, events and people. What the Conservatives need to do next

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Theresa May is under enormous pressure following her failure to win an overall majority.  Straw-laden pitchforks are being doused with petrol, the pearl-handled revolver is being polished.  She cannot continue, it is being said. She’s lost all her authority, anonymous briefings growl.  The question that exercises many is whether she should go at once or later.  Different names are being touted as her replacement (one suspects by the would-be replacements). The Conservatives are repeating their mistakes from the election campaign. …

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Why TMay must stay – for now

Why TMay must stay – for now

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There is much to be getting on with, including leadership election reform A minority government propped up on a vote-by-vote basis by a minor party where the government, even including the ally, only has a majority of about 13 (once Sinn Fein are excluded), is about as strong and stable as a three-legged gazelle roller-skating across ice. In normal circumstances, not only would this not be a parliament likely to go the distance, it would do well to reach a…

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All you need is Gove, Gove, Gove is all you need Mrs May

All you need is Gove, Gove, Gove is all you need Mrs May

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https://twitter.com/davies_will/status/870618761887453184 Mrs May needs not only a Willie, but also a Sir Keith Joseph If Mrs May wants to emulate the success of Mrs Thatcher, I’ve said before she needs a Willie,  but assuming Mrs May wins a majority on Thursday, what this campaign has exposed is that she needs better support and advisers, as ‘the vision thing’ is lacking, as exemplified by the disastrous announcement of the social care changes that led many opponents to characterise it as a…

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Both ICM and YouGov find CON dominance amongst the oldies is not as strong as before the manifesto launch

Both ICM and YouGov find CON dominance amongst the oldies is not as strong as before the manifesto launch

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ICM online polls for the Sun on Sunday and Guardian YouGov online polls for Times/S Times It is one of the overwhelming features of this election that the Tories have a huge advantage with the oldies – those aged 65 or more. So as was widely observed at the time of TMay’s manifesto launch her moves to limit winter fuel allowance and introduce what has become widely known as the dementia tax was a huge risk. I’ve no doubt that…

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More worrying numbers for Team Theresa as doubts amongst punters rise

More worrying numbers for Team Theresa as doubts amongst punters rise

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TMay’s YouGov “best PM” lead down 25 points in 2 months TMay's lead over Corbyn on YouGov "Best PM" tracker has dropped 25 points in past 2 months pic.twitter.com/olqsZ74eSp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 1, 2017 On Betfair CON majority chances down from 96% to 80% The controversial YouGov model – today’s projections YouGov 2017 election model results (1 June)CON 42%, 285-353 seatsLAB 38%, 219-285 seatsFor full results visit: https://t.co/1eYpO4jRQq pic.twitter.com/qkTX5ITAMX — YouGov (@YouGov) June 1, 2017 Mike Smithson Follow…

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On Betfair the chances of a CON majority edges to lowest level since election was called

On Betfair the chances of a CON majority edges to lowest level since election was called

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Was a 95% chance – now 84% During tonight’s Channel 4/Sky News Corbyn/May event I monitored the Betfair overall majority market to see if there was any movement. Half a million pounds is being traded on it every day and the liquidity is there. The answer was that there was a bit of movement but it is hard to attribute this to the programme. The question now is whether the event and the coverage of it will have any impact…

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TMay’s much repeated assertion that Corbyn becomes PM if CON loses 6 seats doesn’t stand up to scrutiny

TMay’s much repeated assertion that Corbyn becomes PM if CON loses 6 seats doesn’t stand up to scrutiny

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IF she lost 6 seats, AND Sinn Fein took its seats AND DUP, UUP & Sylvia Hermon backed Corbyn, he STILL cdn't become PM because @JWoodcockMP — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) May 29, 2017 Starting 99 seats ahead gives the PM a big cushion One of the practices that is followed at general election times is for comparisons to be made with what happened at the election before not taking into account defections or by-elections. So for the purposes of comparison…

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