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#Indyref Polling round up. New politicalbetting thread http://t.co/54IIN5PSh0 pic.twitter.com/URj333GChe — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 18, 2013 In the past few days, to coincide with today being exactly one year away from the Scottish Independence referendum, there’s been a plethora of polling on the topic. ICM for the Scotland on Sunday. This was an online poll, which gave Yes 32%, No 49%, Don’t Knows 19%. Panelbase for The Sunday Times Yes 37 (nc) No 47 (+1), Don’t Know 16 (-1). The changes are from…

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This could be the killer for YES There is a mega-sample Michael Ashcroft poll out this morning which I think highlights the biggest challenge facing YES – that Scottish people don’t think it should be the priority that the SNP is making it. The charts say it all and point to the way that NO should be campaigning. Don’t deal with the core issue but attack the Scottish government for giving it the priority it is giving it. My big…

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Support for Independence hits a new low with TNS-BMRB but support for the Union also falls as the big winner is the Don’t Knows. The changes are from their last poll in April of this year.   The question asked by TNS was “There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country” Which is near identical to the…

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There’s a new poll out by Angus Reid for the Sunday Express on the Scottish Independence referendum, which sees an improvement for the Yes side   Note, the changes are from Angus Reid’s last poll on this topic, which was for The Mail on Sunday, the Sunday Express articles references the last poll conducted for the Sunday Express. The Mail on Sunday Poll details can be found here Other excerpts from the poll 28 per cent of people say they…

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With a little over 389 days to go until Scottish voters decide whether to leave the Union or not. The table below shows the turnout in Scotland for a variety of elections and plebiscites, going back to 1974. Year Westminster election Referendum Holyrood election 1974 F 79.0 1974 O 74.8 1979 March 63.8 1979 May 76.8 1983 72.7 1987 75.1 1992 75.5 1997 May 71.3 1997 Sep 60.4 1999 59.1 2001 58.2 2003 49.4 2005 60.6 2007 52.1 2010 63.8…

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If you subscribe to the theory that the next election will be largely determined by the performance of the economy, then 2013 has been interesting, at the start of the year, the main economic news was whether we would avoid a triple dip recession. A few months ago, not only did we avoid the triple dip, but it turns out the double dip didn’t happen either, and a few weeks ago, the cherry on the parfait was that the IMF upgrades…

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