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Category: Referendum

It looks as though Cameron will try to get referendum out of the way as soon as possible

It looks as though Cameron will try to get referendum out of the way as soon as possible

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2016 now strong odds on favourite to be the year of the EU referendum pic.twitter.com/DFLH1KaVQQ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 27, 2015 It’s Queen’s Speech day and the first time that Cameron had been able to act free of the restrictions of coalition. Judging from the headlines a key measure that the new government will seek to bring in quickly is the referendum on whether Britain should remain part of the EU. LAB had already said it will back the…

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After the IndyRef experience it’s going to be harder not to allow 16/17 year olds to vote in the EU referendum

After the IndyRef experience it’s going to be harder not to allow 16/17 year olds to vote in the EU referendum

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? Shadow Foreign Secretary @hilarybennmp says Labour will seek to change EU bill:http://t.co/iYJyvaiOon #wato pic.twitter.com/jfFcQzGRds — The World at One (@BBCWorldatOne) May 25, 2015 When Alex Salmond pushed through his measure to allow 16 and 17 year olds to vote in last September’s IndyRef in Scotland it was only a matter of time before this became an issue for the whole of the country. With constitutional change, like Scotland going independent or Britain leaving the EU, there’s clearly a strong…

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Marf celebrates gay marriage with a cartoon …

Marf celebrates gay marriage with a cartoon …

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@MichaelWhite Let he who has never leaked, lied about his involvement, sought reelection, & owned up only when rumbled cast the first stone. — PeatWorrier (@PeatWorrier) May 24, 2015 The Scottish precedent has been set. https://t.co/5qQTr986wK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 24, 2015

Given the messages that have been coming out PaddyPower’s 7/4 2016 EU referendum price looks like a good bet

Given the messages that have been coming out PaddyPower’s 7/4 2016 EU referendum price looks like a good bet

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All the signs are that the new Tory government wants to move fast with the EU referendum. We should get an idea on the timing in the upcoming Queen’s Speech. 2016 seems to make a lot of sense. It coincides with devolved parliament elections in Scotland and Wales as well as the next London Mayoral election – all areas of the UK where support for staying in is generally higher than elsewhere. It also will get the issue out of…

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Alex Salmond says there are no NO voters, just deferred YES ones

Alex Salmond says there are no NO voters, just deferred YES ones

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You’ve got to be careful making presumptions about voters Given the polls there are three things that YES/Salmond have to do: Ensure there’s a maximum turnout amongst those currently saying YES; try to win over some switchers, and endeavour to ensure lower turnout levels amongst those inclined to NO. It is that last category, I’d suggest, that are most important which is why YES/Salmond have to ensure that what they do doesn’t galvanise those who are against change. I’m far…

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The “Scare tactics” seem to be working: YouGov now have NO with 4% lead

The “Scare tactics” seem to be working: YouGov now have NO with 4% lead

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How the Sun is reporting its big news IndyRef poll pic.twitter.com/3PpCRoD7tf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 NO back in the led with YouGov YES: 48% (-3) NO: 52% (+3) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 YouGov #indyref "Yes" only ahead in one age group – 25 to 39 year olds. All others – inc 16 to 24 year olds – backing Scotland to remain — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 11, 2014 …biggest fall with Scots women, who…

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ComRes phone poll in South of Scotland finds NO 67% to YES 33%

ComRes phone poll in South of Scotland finds NO 67% to YES 33%

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New ComRes IndyRef poll for @ITVBorder of South of Scotland finds NO 67% YES 33% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 81% of those interviewed by phone for ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef poll said they were 10/10 certain to vote — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 English born respondents in ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef phone poll divide 76% NO to 13% YES — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 65+ segment in ComRes South of Scotland…

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Last month YouGov had the best numbers for NO. Now it’s the best for YES. What’s tonight going to show?

Last month YouGov had the best numbers for NO. Now it’s the best for YES. What’s tonight going to show?

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Last Sat news of YouGov IndyRef shock poll was 1st leaked by one @rupertmurdoch . Will he do same today – perhaps only if YES ahead? — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 YES prices edges up from 19% to 21% on the Betfair exchange. This could be anticipating tonight's YouGov IndyRef poll — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 The extraordinary feature of these closing IndyRef polls is that the firms that hitherto were most favourable to NO have…

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