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Category: Polls

Ipsos-Mori becomes the third pollster in less than a week to show a record high for UKIP

Ipsos-Mori becomes the third pollster in less than a week to show a record high for UKIP

Following on from Survation and YouGov recording their highest ever shares for UKIP, Ipsos-Mori joins the party, and has their highest ever share for UKIP. Labour will be relieved to be back in the lead, but as with other pollsters, we’re seeing some historically low shares for the Con and Lab combined. Latest @IpsosMORI poll has Labour regaining the lead Con 30 (-4) Lab 33 (nc) LD 8 (+1) UKIP 16 (+1) Greens 5 (-1) pic.twitter.com/qljDjWCiwa — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB)…

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UKIP hit a record 18% from YouGov in the latest daily poll

UKIP hit a record 18% from YouGov in the latest daily poll

How today's record UKIP share of 18% from YouGov compares with monthly averages from firm during 2014. pic.twitter.com/oIiKJPLco1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 15, 2014 The reverberations from Clacton continue After the strong UKIP performances in the most recent Survation, Ashcrfot and ICM polls YouGov is reporting this morning that the party is on 18% – the highest ever figure from the firm. Survation at the weekend had the party on 25% while ICM on Monday saw UKIP move up…

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The single issues that look most set to determine GE15 votes: ICM’s new approach to what’s salient

The single issues that look most set to determine GE15 votes: ICM’s new approach to what’s salient

The gaps between the 2010 LDs and UKIP voters are enormous In its latest phone poll for the Guardian ICM takes a novel new approach to testing the salience of specific issues and the impact on voting. As can be seen in the chart above the sample was asked to state the single most important issue that would influence their vote. For me the big surprise is that immigration is pipped for top place by the NHS and that the…

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UKIP move up in tonight’s phone polls while the Tories slip back

UKIP move up in tonight’s phone polls while the Tories slip back

The day has seen three new GE15 polls all of them completed after UKIP success in the by-elections on Thursday. Populus online which came out this morning showed no change for the party but the two phone polls, ICM and Ashcroft, reported increases. ICM had Farage’s party moving up 5% to 14% while Ashcroft recorded 19% for the purples – up 2 and equalling the highest ever share that his polling has found. So less than two weeks after the…

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If Ed Miliband wasn’t polling so badly then what’ll happen on May 7th would be a lot clearer

If Ed Miliband wasn’t polling so badly then what’ll happen on May 7th would be a lot clearer

Confused? So is everyone it appears Headline points from @LordAshcroft poll for Sun on Sunday http://t.co/hSHlMNLqaH pic.twitter.com/5GlgwI3ogd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 12, 2014 The question is how much of a liability is the LAB leader Last night more polls were published than on any day since GE10. We had surveys of all sorts from YouGov, ICM, Opinium, Survation and Lord Ashcroft and it is hard to draw any conclusions. In the voting polls LAB was ahead in all but Survation…

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YouGov on Labour’s recent policy announcements

YouGov on Labour’s recent policy announcements

YouGov asked about Labour’s recent policy announcements Thinking about policies being offered by the Labour party, regardless of whether you personally support the policies or not, which of the following policies do you think will do most to increase the Labour party’s support. Voters were asked to pick one or two. Few think the "mansion tax" policy is a vote-winner for Labour: our latest @TimesRedBox poll – http://t.co/0zHmHOf3qc pic.twitter.com/wZhWQiJJTj — YouGov (@YouGov) October 9, 2014 I have to admit that I was surprised to…

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Tonight’s YouGov has Labour regaining the lead

Tonight’s YouGov has Labour regaining the lead

There’ll be relief for the Reds that they Tory lead hasn’t lasted longer. YouGov/Sun poll tonight: big respite for nervous Ed Miliband as Labour regain the lead, for now at least. LAB 34%, CON 32%, UKIP 15%, LD 8%. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) October 7, 2014 As ever, conference polling can be volatile. Hopefully, we’ll see the Ipsos-Mori phone in the next few days, which will give us further insight into the lie of the political land. TSE

Tories maintain their lead with YouGov for the third poll in a row

Tories maintain their lead with YouGov for the third poll in a row

Two out of three today’s polls have the Tories ahead.  Labour’s share of the the vote with YouGov is its lowest since it was leaderless way back in June 2010.   What we really need is to see is Voting intention polls from other pollsters. Meanwhile ICM have done an online poll for the Guardian, there’s no VI at the moment, but as with other pollsters, the Tories have a commanding lead on the economy.  Interestingly, out of the politician…

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