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Category: Polls

Poll of US servicemen and women finds Trump has lost the Military vote. Biden has a 4% lead

Poll of US servicemen and women finds Trump has lost the Military vote. Biden has a 4% lead

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AT WH2016 the military went for Trump over Clinton by almost two to one Given some of the noises coming from the Oval Office at the moment this poll of men and women serving in the US military could be hugely significant for Trump who seems to have lost the support of active service troops. What makes this very important is that last time the 2016 Military Times Poll, found twice as many respondents said they planned to vote for Trump…

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WH2020: Latest polling from Biden’s three must win states

WH2020: Latest polling from Biden’s three must win states

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Michigan 16 Electoral College votes Wisconsin 10 Electoral College votes Pennsylvania – 20 Electoral College votes We are now just two months away from the US Presidential elections and rather than focus on national polling I thought it would be useful to review every so often how things are going in the key swing states that the Democrats need to win in order to unseat Trump in November. We all know each state is a separate battleground with couple of…

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The Corbynite delusion about YouGov contributed to their defeat in 2019

The Corbynite delusion about YouGov contributed to their defeat in 2019

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Team Corbyn learnt that Labour would lose the 2019 general election three months before a voter had gone to the polls. On September 22, the Sunday morning of the party’s annual conference in Brighton, John McDonnell walked with his wife, Cynthia, to a meeting room in the bowels of the Metropole hotel. What the shadow chancellor was about to find out would prove difficult to stomach. In the last days of August, Niall Sookoo, Labour’s director of elections, and Tim…

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Scötterdämmerung. The Twilight of the Union?

Scötterdämmerung. The Twilight of the Union?

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If you’re a (Scottish) Unionist then it isn’t looking good, the tweets above indicate the worrying issues facing the Union right now. There’s some scope for hope, from this observer’s view it appears that debate is being framed as Scotland v. The Tories/Boris Johnson, with Scottish Labour and the Lib Dems absent from the debate. Once those parties join the debate we might see the arguments change. However relying on a party led by Richard Leonard to be the Gebhard…

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Labour’s Corbynistas have yet to face the unpalatable fact that their man won GE2019 for Boris

Labour’s Corbynistas have yet to face the unpalatable fact that their man won GE2019 for Boris

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A theme that doesn’t seem to go away on UK political social media is the attempt by many Jeremy Corbyn supporters to keep on claiming that their man actually did better than his two general election defeats would suggest. I get it repeatedly on my Twitter feed with all sorts of machinations being made to the 2017 general election results to try to prove how close Corbyn came to becoming Prime Minister. They are happy to quote that election rather…

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Just a year and a bit after becoming PM Johnson finds him trailing in YouGov’s “Best PM” polling

Just a year and a bit after becoming PM Johnson finds him trailing in YouGov’s “Best PM” polling

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But the same poll has the Tories 6% ahead One of the things about this regular polling question on who people would prefer as PM is that the incumbent generally gets a huge boost and it is only very rare that we have a finding like that from YouGov today which puts the LOTO in the top slot. To analyse what has happened I thought it might be useful to put the crossheads into to a chart as shown above…

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