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Let’s hope that the seats chosen for the Lord Ashcroft Scottish polling are varied enough to draw broad conclusions

Let’s hope that the seats chosen for the Lord Ashcroft Scottish polling are varied enough to draw broad conclusions

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I'm hoping Lord Ashcroft has chosen a broad selection of Scottish seats so we'll be able to draw broad conclusions pic.twitter.com/PBlQWf90WD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015 UPDATE – the Ashcroft Scottish polling published early The Ashcroft Scottish polling has been published and show a staggering 25.4% LAB to SNP swing http://t.co/EBa7AX8oK5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 t At 11am Lord Ashcroft’s Scottish polls are due to be published and, hopefully, they’ll give us a clearer idea…

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Latest YouGov makes it 8 consecutive polls without a CON lead but there’s more dire news for LAB from Scotland

Latest YouGov makes it 8 consecutive polls without a CON lead but there’s more dire news for LAB from Scotland

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Curtice in the Indy: GE15 "more about what kind of hung parliament we acquire rather than who can win a majority" pic.twitter.com/QSW8BK6QA5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015 YouGov/Sun poll tonight – Labour lead by two: CON 33, LAB 35, LD 7, UKIP 14, GRN 6 — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) February 2, 2015 New YouGov Scotland poll has SNP 48 to LAB's 27% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2015 @MSmithsonPB mmmmm — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 2, 2015…

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The broad CON-LAB trend in the polls has barely moved since September

The broad CON-LAB trend in the polls has barely moved since September

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The broad CON-LAB trend in the polls has barely moved since September. Wiki chart http://t.co/XvWSExGrQ6 pic.twitter.com/PITg2ELZgm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2015 LAB take 3% lead in tonight's YouGov CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2015 Tonight's LAB YouGov share of 35% is highest of the year so far — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2015

A worrying trend for Ed Miliband’s team: Labour’s 2010 Lib Dem crutch is getting shorter

A worrying trend for Ed Miliband’s team: Labour’s 2010 Lib Dem crutch is getting shorter

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Many ex-yellows are now going green Over the last two years we’ve been keeping a close eye on the group of swing voters who could have a big impact on the May 7th outcome – those who voted Lib Dem in 2010 but have now switched to Labour. In my latest calculation, for January, the number has dropped to a low point. This is not the sort of trend that you can easily discern from a single poll which is…

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Tories take the lead with Survation for the first time in this Parliament – UPDATE – ComRes phone poll has the Tories ahead for the first time since Sep 2011

Tories take the lead with Survation for the first time in this Parliament – UPDATE – ComRes phone poll has the Tories ahead for the first time since Sep 2011

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New @Survation online poll CON 31% (+1) LAB 30% (-3) UKIP 23% (+2) LD 7% (-3) GRE 3% (nc) SNP 5 (+2) — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 26, 2015 The @Survation poll is the first Survation to put Con ahead in this parliament — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 26, 2015 This is the first in a series of monthly polling for the Mirror between now and the election. UKIP will be delighted to be in the 20s, albeit…

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Latest polls bring just a little bit of relief for LAB but it’s going to be a struggle to win most seats

Latest polls bring just a little bit of relief for LAB but it’s going to be a struggle to win most seats

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LAB moves to 4% lead with Populus online LAB 36= CON 32-3 LD 9+1 UKIP 13= GRN 6+2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2015 Overnight LAB retained YouGov Sun poll lead LAB 33% CON 31% UKIP 17% GRNS 8% LD 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2015 But still this battle is mighty tight At the end of a week that has seen the worst LAB polling shares since GE10 the latest two polls from Populus and YouGov will come as something of a relief. As…

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Another Scottish poll gives a little bit of cheer to LAB but not that much

Another Scottish poll gives a little bit of cheer to LAB but not that much

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Survation for the Daily Record SNP 46%-2 LAB 26%+2 CON 14%-2 LD 7%+2 UKIP 4%= On what is set to be a very big polling day the first news we have is of a Survation poll in Scotland for the Daily Record. The numbers are above and show that the SNP still has a very big lead over Labour which would cause Miliband’s party to lose a massive number of seats. Scotland is so important to this election because of…

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First Scottish GE2015 poll of the year finds LAB closing the gap behind the SNP to just 10%

First Scottish GE2015 poll of the year finds LAB closing the gap behind the SNP to just 10%

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1st Scottish GE2015 poll of year, Panelbase for S Times, has LAB closing the gap behind SNP to just 10%. Wiki list pic.twitter.com/FhU5kxj4Oa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2015 The worst poll for the SNP for more than 3 months This morning we have what is undoubtedly the most important poll so far of this general election year – a new survey by Panelbase of Scottish voting intentions which has the Scottish LAB party in its best position since…

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